Troy Bombardia | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Fund Manager
Contributor's Links: Bull Markets
Fund manager for a privately held investment company. 8 years experience working in the financial industry.

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Was 2018 A Growth Scare, And Will 2019 Be Like 1999?
1998 saw a rapid stock market crash, a retest (something we have yet to see today), followed by a massive nonstop rally. Everyone at the time thought that the 1998 crash was the start of a much bigger crash.
What An Increasing Recession Probability Means For The Stock Market
As the S&P 500 stalls at its 200 day moving average, recession probabilities are rising according to the New York Fed. Let’s look at what this means for the stock market.
Earnings Growth Is Falling And Turning Negative. What This Means For Stocks
As the stock market rallies higher and is on the verge of breaking out above its 200 day moving average, the outlook for Q1 2019 corporate earnings growth is falling.
After A Terrific January For Stocks, What’s Next
This has been a terrific January for stocks. Risk-on assets like stocks and oil have risen, while safe-haven assets like the U.S. Dollar have fallen.
In A Most Optimistic Scenario, The Bull Market Has 1 Year Left
The S&P is still hovering around its 50% Fibonacci retracement, which is a very important resistance. Meanwhile, the macro data is mixed.
Stock Market’s Medium Term Is No Longer Bullish. It Is Now Mixed
The stock market’s biggest long term problem is that as the economy reaches “as good as it gets” and stops improving, the long term risk is to the downside.
Financial Conditions Will Tighten Soon. What This Means For Stocks?
With the yield curve inverting and the economy in the late-stages of its expansion, financial conditions will tighten over the next few quarters. This is not yet a long term bearish sign for stocks, but will be very soon.
What Will The Stock Market Do Around Earnings Season
With earnings season just ahead and the stock market under its 200 day moving average, the high probability of a pullback/retest remains.
What An Inverted Yield Curve Means For Stocks, Currencies, Commodities, And Real Estate
For the U.S. stock market, a yield curve inversion isn’t an immediately bearish sign for stocks. Although a yield curve inversion preceeds most recessions and bear markets, the lead time is often long.
Market Outlook: Stock Market Is Bouncing After Being Extremely Oversold
While the bull market could very well still last until Q2 2019, the long term risk:reward no longer favors bulls. Past a certain point, risk:reward is more important than the stock market’s most probable long term direction.
Safe Havens Are Surging. What This Means For Stocks
While the U.S. stock market has gone down, gold has gone up. Some veteran investors and traders see this as a repeat of early-2008, in which stocks fell while gold went up.
Be Careful Going Into 2019
With the start of a new year, some of these market studies are going to look at the stock market in 2018 and see what that implies for 2019.
What Will The Stock Market Do In 2019?
The U.S. stock market’s long-term risk: reward is no longer bullish. This doesn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over.
Market Outlook: Will The Stock Market Make A V-Shaped Recovery?
The stock market crashed and has now bounced. V shaped recoveries are rare, but not impossible. Most crashes are followed by a bounce and a retest of the lows.
How The Recent Stock Market Crash Is Just Like 1987
The stock market is making an oversold bounce and has reached its first fib retracement (23.6%). The standard target for a bounce is 38.2% – 50%
When Will The First Big Rally Start?
The S&P has now fallen -20%, the conventional definition for a “bear market”.
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