Owner, Econocasts
Contributor's Links: Econocasts

My blog, Econocasts, covers structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts.

I like to remember The Modelers' Hippocratic Oath:

I will remember that I didn't make the world, and it doesn't satisfy my ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Gold Cycle Model Chart - Monday, June 24
The gold cycle model suggests a steady rise in the gold price for the next several months.
Read
Silver Cycle Model Chart - Sunday, June 23
The silver cycle model is behaving well.
Read
Silver Cycle Model Chart - Sunday, March 3
The silver cycle model shows a local maximum for silver prices has been reached as of the beginning of March 2019.
Read
Nasdaq Cycle Model Chart For Friday, Feb. 15
The Nasdaq cycle model is suggesting a local maximum in May 2019 time frame, followed by a drop to 6000 by September 2019.
Read
Silver Cycle Model Chart - Tuesday, Jan. 29
The silver cycle model is suggesting a local maximum in the February/March 2019 time frame.
Read
Gold Cycle Model Chart - Saturday, Jan. 26
There is a hint here that the months-long right phase shift may be on hold.
Read

STOCKS I FOLLOW

GDX Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF
SLV iShares Silver Trust

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Education

Publications

Econocasts
Paulo DePetrilo

The cycle model charts you see on this site are constructed via a structural equation.  They are reasonably good at pointing out long term turning points in the target markets and seem to work best for commodities. Remember though that all models are wrong but some are useful!