Mish Shedlock | TalkMarkets | Page 249

Mish Shedlock

Investment Advisor Representative - Sitka Pacific Capital Management
Contributor's Links: Mish Talk Sitka Pacific's Investment Management
Mike Mish Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit Sitka Pacifics Investment Management Page to learn more ...more
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Macron Next French President With 60+% Of The Vote
Sunday, May 7, 2017 3:49 PM EDT
Macron winds handily. Can he now find support for his policies?
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Congratulations! BLS Says You Make 2.33% More Than Last Year: Does That Cover The Bills?
Friday, May 5, 2017 4:30 PM EDT
Economists keep expecting a big boom in consumer spending. They also expect a huge wage-price spiral.
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Duelings Forecasts: GDPNow 4.2% Vs. Nowcast 1.8%
Friday, May 5, 2017 2:26 PM EDT
For the first quarter, the initial GDPNow forecast was 2.3% on January 30, 2017. The GDPNow forecast spiked quickly to 3.4% then crashed to a final estimate of 0.2% on April 27.
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April Payrolls Bounce, Revisions Take March Lower: Hiring Increasingly Volatile
Friday, May 5, 2017 12:07 PM EDT
Today’s establishment employment report shows a huge, 211,000 jump in reported jobs Vs. a downward revised March.
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German Investors Dumping Italian Bonds: Italy Increasingly Dependent On ECB, Target2 Capital Flight Revisited
Friday, May 5, 2017 5:16 AM EDT
Italy is increasingly dependent on the ECB to hold down bond yields as foreign investors dump Italian bonds like mad.
In this article: EWI
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Factory Orders, Except Aircraft, Fizzle Once Again
Thursday, May 4, 2017 1:20 PM EDT
Factory orders for March came in at 0.2%, below the Econoday consensus estimate of 0.4%. Taking into account a 0.2 percentage point upgrade in February, the consensus estimate is on the money. Excluding transportation, orders declined 0.3%.
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Puerto Rico Placed In Bankruptcy Protection: Illinois Needs Similar Deal
Wednesday, May 3, 2017 5:47 PM EDT
Puerto Rico’s leadership moved on Wednesday to place the island’s debt crisis into federal bankruptcy court, making it the largest United States government entity to seek court refuge from its creditors in American history.
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FOMC Holds Rates, Mush “Transitory” Statement Follows: Interesting Bond Reaction
Wednesday, May 3, 2017 3:19 PM EDT
As universally expected, the Fed did not hike rates at the May meeting. Instead, the FOMC committee issued a boilerplate Press Release that the first quarter slowdown is transitory and that inflation expectations are balanced.
In this article: TYX, FVX
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Services PMI And Non-Manufacturing ISM Diverge Strongly Again
Wednesday, May 3, 2017 1:23 PM EDT
Non-manufacturing production, new orders, prices, and inventories are all ups strongly. Employment was the laggard.
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Tracking GDPNow Forecasts Vs. Reality: What About That Initial 2nd Quarter Estimate?
Tuesday, May 2, 2017 5:29 PM EDT
On May 1, the GDPNow Model came up with an initial forecast of 4.3% for second quarter GDP.
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Auto Sales Puke Again: Year-Over-Year Totals: GM -6%, Ford -7.2%, Toyota -4.4%, Fiat-Chrysler -7.0%
Tuesday, May 2, 2017 2:02 PM EDT
Auto sales are down for the fourth consecutive month. Final numbers are not yet in, but the preliminary year-over-year totals are miserable.
In this article: F, GM, TM, FCAU
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Three Big Red Flags For Auto Sales
Monday, May 1, 2017 9:58 PM EDT
In March, auto sales unexpectedly declined 5.7%. Forecasts now suggest April will mark the fourth straight monthly decline in U.S. vehicle sales.
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ISM And Markit Manufacturing Reports Skewed By Energy Sector And Airplane Orders?
Monday, May 1, 2017 6:12 PM EDT
The divergence between Markit’s US Manufacturing PMI and the ISM’s “Report on Business” narrowed a bit today with both numbers retreating a bit but ISM cooling more.
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Investigating Weather-Related Effects On Construction Spending
Monday, May 1, 2017 3:27 PM EDT
Reported construction spending for March was -0.2%. However, the Census Department revised February construction spending from 0.8% to 1.8%. Nonetheless, let’s have a closer look, including a detailed look weather-related effects.
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Consumer Spending Flat, PCE Inflation Weakest Showing In 16 Years, Rate Hike Odds Rising
Monday, May 1, 2017 1:42 PM EDT
The market is increasingly convinced the Fed will hike in June, even as the economic data sinks. CME Fedwatch shows a 67.4% chance of a rate hike in June, up from a week ago.
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Spotlight On Airplane Orders: Demand About To Collapse?
Monday, May 1, 2017 12:10 PM EDT
With autos and general consumer spending rolling over, the two things propping up the economy are housing and durable goods orders, more specifically airplane orders. What’s up with that?
In this article: BA, AAL
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