Mish Shedlock Blog | Trump No Longer The Odds-On Favorite To Win In November | Talkmarkets - Page 2
Investment Advisor Representative - Sitka Pacific Capital Management

Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market ... more

Trump No Longer The Odds-On Favorite To Win In November

Date: Sunday, June 7, 2020 4:40 AM EDT

Trump's supporters look the other way.

They fabricate excuses like the protest was not peaceful, besides "It was not teargas". 

Amazing Lengths

Trump's supporters twist themselves in knots to avoid admitting he did anything wrong.

Regardless of denials something snapped. 

 I chimed in with the same message Trump is a Threat to the Constitution.

“Donald Trump is the first president in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people—does not even pretend to try. Instead, he tries to divide us,” Mattis writes. “We are witnessing the consequences of three years of this deliberate effort. We are witnessing the consequences of three years without mature leadership. 

Trump's Disapproval Over Time

Trump Approval Disapproval Time Line

Trump's core support is about 36-38%.

These people will vote for Trump no matter what he does. But except for one brief moment at election time Trump cannot break the 45% approval line.

A quick check on the 538 Trump Tracker shows Trump is still at 41.6%.

This election will not be won nationally but at the state level. There, Trump continues to fall further and further begind.

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