Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin

Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Treasury Spreads And Measured Policy Uncertainty
Food for thought. Maybe Trump’s policies will give us an increase in the sample size.
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Employment Estimates In The Run-Up To The 2001 Recession
The latest vintage says March 2000 NFP employment growth (one year before the recession) was 467,000, and 4.6% m/m annualized (in log terms).
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Is Housing The Business Cycle, 2019?
For now (or as of November), we can rest reasonably assured that we’re not currently in a recession.
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The Year In Review, 2018: Blowhards At Bay?
A recap of the year 2018. At least this year, lies are called lies. Now it’s time to shun the liars, and relegate them to where they belong.
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When Will Trump Deliver On The Trade War: Soybeans
Are we winning the trade war? Despite the “truce”, soy prices have not recovered measurably.
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Recreational Vehicle Sales As Recession Indicator
A longer-term perspective yields some insight into the predictive power of RV sales.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

FXE Euro Currency Trust
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
XHB SPDR S&P HMBLDRS IDX FND
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
45 Years Of Nominal Soybean Prices
Chart covering 45 years of nominal soybean prices.

Work Experience

Education

University of California, Berkeley
PhD
Economics

Publications