Kevin Muir | TalkMarkets | Page 13
Private Investor
Contributor's Links: The Macro Tourist Where Is Beeks?
I am a private investor who used to work for a big Canadian bank as a derivative index trader. I have been writing a journal for myself for many years. From time to time I have shared these posts with colleagues and friends on my site, The Macro Tourist. ...more

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Stocks Dare The Fed
This morning about the most awkward economic news possible was released. CPI undershot, coming in at 1.6% instead of the expected 1.7%. Retail sales were abysmal, registering -0.2% instead of the forecasted 0.1% gain.
Yellen Trying To Ride Into The Sunset
This Fed transparency has become more of a liability than an asset. Instead of providing policy clarity, it creates confusion as various factions of the Federal Reserve board debate their positions in a public forum.
Loonie Bulls - Sold To You
This morning the Bank of Canada hiked rates, the first time since their 2010 early attempt to normalize rates in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis.
Back On Board: The Eurostoxx Bandwagon
The German Bund market has broken down. Yields have risen from 25 basis points to 55 bps in the past couple of weeks.
There Is No Such Thing As A Bad Tick
Central Banks are sending real rates higher. In the process, they are taking money out of precious metals, and into short-dated fixed income securities.
Nickels In The Bathroom
With this sort of extreme market volatility, there is no rush to run out and buy wheat.
A Better Way To Short The Bond Market?
In the mid-1990s, one of LTCM’s largest positions was short US swap spreads. Back then swaps traded at higher rates than US treasuries.
Somewhere Cheap To Hide
Uranium miners ran like they stole something. The Global X Uranium ETF rose from a little under $13 to almost $19 in the space of a couple of months.
The Reverse Tepper Moment?
In the current environment, either the economy rolls over (which should be bad for stocks), or it bounces, at which point the Federal Reserve continues on its tightening path (which could also be bad for stocks).
Rejoining The Dark Side
When the critics complain about the Fed supporting the stock market in moments of weakness, they have a point. Yet they are missing the fact that the Fed is also targeting the stocks when they rise.
When Will Janet Live Up To Her Reputation?
Forget about scary Central Bank balance sheets. Fight the urge to worry about the unprecedented quantitative easing programs. Dismiss the warning cries of the frightening levels of debt.
A Series Of Rolling Mini-Bubbles
When someone suggested small caps were overbought and prone to disappoint, they were labeled a Luddite who didn’t understand the true extent of Trump’s trans-formative policies.
Palladium Short Squeeze
Palladium is more of an industrial metal than a pure precious metal, but not only is it breaking to new highs for this move, but it is actually pushing up against the highs that were hit during the great precious metals bull market of 2011.
It's Always Just A Question Of Price
One of the biggest pushbacks about my theory that inflation is the real worry for the markets, not deflation, is the argument that there is no demand for credit, and therefore, inflation will never be able to take root.
Buried Under The Headlines
China is prepared to increase its holdings of U.S. Treasuries under the right circumstances, as officials judge the assets are becoming more attractive than other sovereign debt and as the yuan stabilizes.
Betting Against History
It’s another of those days. The S&P 500 closed the week at an all time high, and although you would think everyone would be feeling good about it, the rally has brought about more angst than pleasure.
193 to 208 of 225 Posts
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