Jeff Miller | TalkMarkets | Page 2
Portfolio Manager
Location: 1280 Iroquois Ave. Suite 102, Naperville, IL, IL, United States
Phone: 630-548-0517
Jeff Miller was a partner in NewArc Investments from 1997-2019. After the purchase of NewArc by Incline Investment Advisors, Jeff became the Portfolio Manager for the combined firm. A registered investment advisor, Jeff worked for market makers at the Chicago ...more

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Weighing The Week Ahead: Investors Need Some Accurate Evidence
Investors need an evidenced-based assessment of the economic rebound. And then they need to ask if their portfolios are aligned with the answer.
Weighing The Week Ahead: The Start Of Something Big? Sunday, August 6
Many unconvincing reasons were offered for Thursday’s sell-off, so there is plenty of room for the punditry to continue the debate. Most will be asking: Is this the start of something big?
Nonfarm Payroll Response Rate Warning Continues — 7 Million Jobs Too High?
The most important feature of the Nonfarm Payroll report continues to go unnoticed. We should be watching the response rate in the second revision of the data. That is where failed and shuttered business show up.
Investing For The Long Run: Looking Beyond The Obvious
The current market makes it all seem easy to many investors. It is actually a big challenge for anyone looking ahead for a few months.
Weighing The Week Ahead: Risky Business Or Business As Usual?
We have an important economic calendar with ISM indexes, construction spending and auto sales. But in the week before Labor Day, with many unemployed, and an intense election season, expect a strong focus on the employment numbers. 
Weighing The Week Ahead: Do Housing Market Changes Present An Investment Opportunity?
We may be overdue for a closer look, especially for cues of an economic sunrise.
Investing For The Long Run: The Challenge Of A Bifurcated Market
I see the current market as a challenge for the long-term investor. I do not expect stocks that are currently leaders to be the best of breed a year from now.
Weighing The Week Ahead: Economic Sunrise?
Many pundits have been unduly pessimistic about the economic rebound. That has also been my viewpoint. What would make me bullish? Put another way: Are we witnessing an economic sunrise?
NFP Response Rates Sound A Warning
The most important result to watch is the response rate. If the response rate is below the normal level, it might imply a higher level of business deaths. If this is true, the standard BLS methodology results in an overestimate of payroll jobs.
Employment Report Preview: Interpret With Care
Economists were very surprised by the massive jump in jobs reported in May. They quickly changed their viewpoints about the economy as did important policymakers.
Weighing The Week Ahead: Is The Payroll Employment Report Accurate?
The payroll employment report is viewed as by the investment and economic communities as the “official” read on employment. We should be asking: Is the payroll employment report accurate in these tumultuous times?
Weighing The Week Ahead: Time For A Look Under The Hood Of The Economic Engine
Despite the improving technical indicators, I continue my rating of “Bearish” in the overall outlook for long-term investors. We should also keep watch on the increase in anticipated inflation.
Weighing The Week Ahead: What Is Your Personal Downside Risk?
The “recovery” trade is leveling off a bit, but still reinforcing the market verdict on the coronavirust. Industrials, financials energy and materials are part of that group. Defensive sectors like utilities, consumer, and health are perking up.
Investing For The Long Run: How To Analyze “Expert” Advice
Thinking about the matrix should be the most important step in your analysis. Today’s matrix version looks at sectors, not individual stocks. You will soon discover that there is no reason to reach for marginal choices. .
Weighing The Week Ahead: Time For Some Hedging?
The economic calendar is extensive with a focus on housing and consumer behavior. Expect market participants to look for any sign that the economic recovery is stalling in the face of the COVID-19 surge and the slower pace of reopening.
Weighing The Week Ahead: Don’t Look Back
We have a very light economic calendar with many, no doubt, extending vacations. Jobless claims continue to be important. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index will get attention as will the JOLTS report. Neither can really provide any fresh information.
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