James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 105
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more

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Will Economic Data Support The Recent Rise In The 10-Year Yield?
The recent jump in the 10-year yield has lifted the rate’s 50-day moving average sharply above its 100-day average, which is now well above the 200-day average.
All The Major Asset Classes Scored Gains Last Week
It was a clean sweep. Every one of the major asset classes posted an increase last week, based on a set of exchange-traded products.
US GDP Growth Trails Estimates In Q4 But 1-Year Trend Picks Up
Real GDP increased 2.5% through last year’s Q4, edging above Q3’s 2.2% annual pace and touching the best year-over-year gain since mid-2015.
Technology Continues To Lead US Sectors As Healthcare Heats Up
Shares of technology stocks remain the trend leader but healthcare’s recent strength suggests a changing of the guard may be near, based on a set of sector ETFs ranked by one-year return.
US Q4 GDP Growth Expected To Hold Steady Near 3%
Tomorrow’s preliminary GDP report for the fourth quarter is on track to post a growth rate at or near the roughly 3% pace that’s prevailed in the previous two quarters, according to several estimates.
Is A Weaker Dollar A Plus For US Economic Growth?
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin says that a softer dollar will juice US economic growth. A decline in the dollar vs. foreign currencies will provide a tailwind for certain industries.
US Business Cycle Risk Report | 23 January 2018
US economic output remained strong in December, according to a review of key indicators. Echoing the profile in recent history, the numbers continue to reflect a virtually nil probability that a recession has started.
Emerging Markets Stocks Lead While US Bonds Retreat
Equities in emerging markets posted the strongest advance among the major asset classes last week, based on a set of exchange-traded products.
What’s The Macro Price Tag For Shutdown Economics In The US?
The federal government remains shuttered for a second day. Senate moderates are struggling to find a political solution, albeit without success so far. Meantime, what should we expect for economic blowback if the political stalemate endures?
Has The Yield Curve Lost Its Mojo As A Business Cycle Indicator?
The yield curve data of late looks out of place relative to the state of US economic affairs. Growth has picked up and the near-term risk of a new recession has been virtually nil recently.
Yield Curve Flattens As 2-Year Treasury Rate Rises Above 2%
The futures market is currently predicting that the Federal Reserve will keep its target rate unchanged at the current 1.25%-to-1.50% range when policymakers meet on Jan. 31.
Growth Stock Rally Continues To Overshadow Value Investing
The exuberance in the US stock market of late may or may not be irrational, but the party atmosphere in the value corner of equities is subdued vs. the celebratory surge for growth shares.
US Stocks Top Weekly Performance List As REITs Sink
US equities led most markets higher last week, posting the strongest gain among the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange-traded products.
Momentum Continues To Dominate Factor ETF Performances
All the major factor strategies are posting solid one-year returns these days, but momentum’s trend remains a bullish outlier, based on a set of proxy ETFs.
5 Questions On Debt And Financial Crises
The economies in danger are all those that avoided a crisis in 2008 by continuing or setting off private debt bubbles. Crucially, this includes China, but China has the advantage of being able to rapidly ramp up government spending.
How Long Will The Stock Market’s Low-Volatility Regime Last?
US stocks ticked up to another record close yesterday – the fifth consecutive trading day with a new high.
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