Elliottwave Forecast Blog | Risk Appetite Bolster Yen Pairs | TalkMarkets
ElliotWave Forecast
Contributor's Links: Elliottwave Forecast
At Elliottwave-Forecast, we offer 24 hour coverage of 52 instruments from Monday – Friday using Elliott Wave Theory as primary tools of analysis. We provide Elliott Wave chart in 4 different time frames, up to 4 times a day update in 1 hour chart, two live sessions by our expert analysts, 24 ...more

Risk Appetite Bolster Yen Pairs

Date: Thursday, February 18, 2021 11:19 AM EDT

The Japanese Yen is weak against all other most-traded currencies, demonstrating market sentiment favoring riskier currencies. Japanese Yen is traditionally considered as safe haven currencies, and it tends to appreciate when there's risk aversion in market. The positive outlook for vaccine rollouts and fiscal stimulus in various countries, especially the United States, contribute to this risk appetite rally.

Japan's recently better-than-expected economic data further added to the market's optimism.  Japan's latest GDP expanded by 3% in the fourth quarter. This is better than the median estimate of 2.4% by analysts. Annual GDP rose by 12.7%, which is a far bigger increase than the 9.5% expectation by economists.  Below we will take a look at the technical picture of EURJPY

EURJPY Weekly Chart

Weekly chart above shows a higher high (bullish sequence) since May 2020 low. A 100% - 161.8% Fibonacci extension in (A)-(B)-(C) can see pair continue to extend higher towards 134.3 - 142.1. We can also see that pair manages to break above long term bearish trend line from 2014 peak, bolstering the view that pair can see more upside. In addition, there's a horizontal support/resistance line around 127.3. A close above the level on weekly basis could suggest continuation higher with limited downside to around 126 - 127 if there's a pullback.

In Live Trading Room, we managed to buy the pullback at 125.2 when pair retested the broken trend line from 2014 high in 3 waves ((a))-((b))-((c)) as chart below from January 18 shows:

Euro Yen Elliott Wave chart

A month later, we are now at 128 as 4 hour chart below shows and we remain long EURJPY with a risk free position

Source: https://elliottwave-forecast.com/forex/risk-appetite-bolster-yen-pairs/

Disclaimer: This and other personal blog posts are not reviewed, monitored or endorsed by TalkMarkets. The content is solely the view of the author and TalkMarkets is not responsible for the content of this post in any way. Our curated content which is handpicked by our editorial team may be viewed here.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.