CEO of New Constructs, LLC.

Mr. Trainer is a Wall Street veteran and corporate finance expert. He specializes in reversing accounting distortions on the underlying economics of business performance and stock valuation. He is author of more

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Featured Stocks In March’s Most Attractive/Most Dangerous Model Portfolios
Most Dangerous Stocks have misleading earnings and long growth appreciation periods implied by their market valuations.
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Is This Rock Bottom For Newell?
NWL’s major write-downs and divestitures made its 10-K unusually complicated.
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Steer Clear Of Lyft’s IPO
The first big IPO of 2019 is here. This year could set new IPO records, and it all starts with Lyft (LYFT).
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Loss Of Licensed Content Is An Underrated Crisis For Netflix
Ever since Netflix launched its first original series with House of Cards in 2013, the streaming service has put its original content front and center.
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Early Returns Look Bad For This Merger
KDP was formed when privately held Keurig acquired Dr. Pepper Snapple in July of 2018, and the combined company began trading under the symbol KDP.
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Featured Stock In February’s Safest Dividend Yields Model Portfolio
Omnicom Group is the featured stock in February.
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Latest Comments
Netflix’s Price Increase Signals Original Content Isn’t Enough
1 year ago

Thanks Harry Goldstein.

Understanding how far off they are from profitability today helps investors see the real risk in the stock.

In this article: NFLX
Netflix’s Price Increase Signals Original Content Isn’t Enough
1 year ago

Good points - and the back and forth here illustrated the challenges Netflix has to making money. Not sure how they will ever make the kind of money they need to make to support original content creation.

Understanding how far off they are from profitability today helps investors see the real risk in the stock.

In this article: NFLX
Netflix’s Price Increase Signals Original Content Isn’t Enough
1 year ago

They lost $2.8 billion in 2016.

Over the trailing twelve months - free cash flow is -$3.1 billion.

Wall Street loves the stock and the firm's strategy b/c it will generate lots of underwriting fees for all the debt and stock NFLX can sell to the suckers willing to fund a business model that has not made money 2010 when free cash flow was $29 million.

Since 2002, free cash flows is -$9.4 billion, cumulatively.

In this article: NFLX
Why We Downgraded Disney
4 years ago

Mr. Kaplan,

We think Disney is a great company — a truly great one — that has tremendous brand assets and has delivered great value for shareholders for many years. We simply believe that all of these brand assets and future "home run" movies, including Frozen 2, are priced into the stock at its current level.

Thanks for reading and commenting.

In this video: DIS
Top Stock Picks: 2014 In Review
4 years ago

You can learn more by signing up for our free membership at www.newconstructs.com.

In this article: AMGN, ED, ALL, CB, MDT, INTC
Danger Zone: Glu Mobile (GLUU)
4 years ago
Joel: Thanks for your comment. Would you mind sharing what you think GLUU's strengths are and how they do/don't position the company to meet or exceed the expectations for future cash flows embedded in the stock price?
In this article: GLUU, DWA, NFLX, ZNGA
Why Footnotes Matter
4 years ago
Sebright: Good point. The catch is that few investors have the time or expertise to read an annual report. Did you know that 2013 annual reports averaged over 200+ pages?
In this article: AA, ABC, CTL, DVN, ED, HAS, HES, MUR, MWV, RF, SYK, VZ, ZION
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