David Templeton Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Portfolio Manager & Principal, HORAN Capital Advisors
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David Templeton, Portfolio Manager & Principal, is a senior strategist and advisor at HORAN Capital Advisors. David has extensive experience in portfolio construction, security selection,development of investment policies and portfolio allocation strategies for individual and institutional ... more


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Dogs Of The Dow A Winning Strategy In 2018
With the 2018 investing year now closed, one strategy that turned out to be a winning one was the Dogs of the Dow strategy.
Stock Buybacks Up 57.8% In Third Quarter
S&P Dow Jones Indices recently reported preliminary dividend and buyback information for the third quarter ending 9/30/2018. On a year over year basis stock buybacks for S&P 500 companies are collectively up 57.8% for Q3 2018.
Trend In Index Earnings More Important Then A Slowing Rate Of Earnings Growth
One issue strategists are highlighting of late is the fact the earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 Index in 2019 is expected to decelerate from the mid to high 20+% level this year to the mid-single-digit percentage level in 2019.
Steep Decline In Bullish Investor Sentiment
The American Association of Individual Investors reported sentiment data for the week ending December 12, 2018. The sentiment survey reported the largest change in the difference between bullish and bearish sentiment since April 11, 2013.
Tight Labor Market A Headwind For Business Sentiment
Although the November NFIB Small Business Optimism Index remains at a high level of 104.8, today's report is the third consecutive decline in the index.
Investment Fund Outflows Dominate
The most recent flow data for ETF's and mutual funds reported by ICI last week notes outflows occurred in nearly all of the broad asset categories. One exception was a small positive flow into commodity oriented investments.
GM Restructuring News Not A Sign Of A Slowing Economy
Yesterday General Motors (GM) announced a restructuring that will cut 14,000 positions and the possibility of closing five auto manufacturing plants. Some headlines attributed the restructuring to an economy that may be slowing.
Low Level Of Bullishness Means Equity Market Market Bottom Maybe Near
Today's Sentiment Survey report from the American Association of Individual Investors noted individual investor bullish sentiment decline 9.8 percentage points to 25.3%.
Institutional And Individual Investors More Bearish On Equities
Since the January market high, the bullishness reading has vacillated between +26% to +45%, with a level in the mid-teens being an extreme. Today's reading of 35.1% bullishness falls within this range.
Small Business Continues To Be Highly Optimistic
Today's NFIB Small Business Optimism Index was reported at a strong 107.4, down only 1.4 points from the Index's 45-year August high.
Dollar Defies The 7-Year Cycle
Historically the U.S. Dollar has had a tendency to exhibit strength over a 7-year cycle. In July of this year the Dollar strength cycle crossed into its eighth year though, as seen in the included charts.
Emerging Markets: An Opportunity?
For a period of time this year, the U.S. equity market avoided the weakness that was occurring in many other equity markets around the world.
Much To Like About The Economy
Recent equity market volatility has raised the question about the health of the current economic expansion.
VIX Curve Moving Back Towards Contango A Positive For Stocks
As the near-term VIX begins to decline or fall below the future VIX or VXV​, the equity market tends to move higher.
Fall 2018 Investor Letter: A Midterm Election Year
History shows the fourth quarter of a midterm election year combined with the first quarter of the following year are the two strongest returning quarters for the market over the four-year presidential cycle.
Hiring Pace Continues To Lag Job Openings Growth
If job openings are an indication of the economy's strength, yesterday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover report is confirmation of economic strength.
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