David Moenning | TalkMarkets | Page 2
Chief Investment Officer at Heritage Capital Research
Contributor's Links: Heritage Capital Research
Portfolio management consultant with more than 30 years of investment management experience. Focuses on a risk-managed approach to capital markets via modernized portfolio design and dynamic adaptation to ever-changing macro environments. Founder of Heritage Capital Research, an independent ...more

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The Great Debate
On various calls with institutional clients over the past couple of weeks, I have summarized the current state of the market as an ongoing debate between the bulls and bears - one that has been playing out daily.
What's It Gonna Be?
Markets are looking for the right levels based on a rapidly changing narrative. Gone is the assumption that the Fed is going to wreck the economy by going too far. I
The Question Of The Day Is...
The question of the day is simple. Are investors dealing with another banking crisis, which poses what is called "systemic" risk or "idiosyncratic" risk?
How Did This Happen?
And just like that, the game has changed. Almost completely.
Bostic Boost
Instead of the major indices revisiting and/or breaking to new lows, as was widely and loudly predicted by a growing chorus of Wall Street bears, the market managed to hold up pretty well.
Cautiously Optimistic For Now
Here we go again. Just when you thought positive economic news was a good thing traders turned the game on its head. Again.
Lines In The Sand
Tuesday's CPI is the key to this week's data releases and perhaps the near-term direction of both stock and bond prices.
As January Goes...
It is said that those who ignore history are condemned to repeat it.
Are The Bulls Back?
So far, the stock market appears to be looking ahead to better days.
A Matter Of Timing
The key question is how soon inflation will begin to decline "enough" for the Fed to be reasonable and avoid wrecking the economy.
The Most Important Chart Of The Year
The inflation timing model is a group of indicators designed to "call" the direction of inflation. And while it has been a very long time since such a model has been in play, inflation is clearly a focal point of the market.
Historical Cycles Disagree With Wall Street
Instead of confirming the consensus view that stocks have nowhere to go but down, the historical cycles suggest that investors should hop on board the bull train - and fast.
Everyone Is Singing The Same Song
According to history, the market has never bottomed before a recession begins. Therefore, the market is likely to head lower.
Place Your Bets
The question of recession becomes the most important issue of 2023. At least at this point in time, the answer is, well, uncertain.
The Bottoming Process?
Although the action has been more than a little crazy lately and there are a ton of moving parts, the bottom line is the market just might be in the midst of a bottoming process.
Making Sense Of The Mayhem
The question of the day from a trading perspective is if we are seeing another technical "test" of the lows, which would represent an argument for this being a basing phase, or the start of a new leg down.
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