Registered Investment Advisor (RIA)
Contributor's Links: Ciovacco Capital
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets? ...more


Charts Are Showing A Discernable Shift
Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (AVWAP) provides insight into areas of possible support and resistance based on the past actions of market participants.
History Of Recessions And Impact On Today's Stock Market
Countless data points are reviewed by market participants and economists to gauge recession odds. What can we learn from it in June 2023? What does it tell us about the current rally in stocks - doomed to fail or room to push significantly higher?
Do The Charts Align With An Imminent-Recession Narrative?
Risk-on or toppy? What we can learn about recession and bear market probabilities by examining the latest charts, data, and studies.
Are Stocks Set Up For A Sharp Reversal?
Are the charts leaning toward a significant and lasting reversal in stocks? What does a recent rare signal tell us about the bull/bear odds?
Key To The 2023-24 Market Puzzle: What Does History Say About Fed Pause Vs. Pivot?
The complexities of forecasting in 2023 include: The market is betting on Fed rate cuts and a soft landing; is that a reasonable assumption? What will break the logjam?
Three Major Scenarios For Stocks, Bonds, And Gold
A look at three major scenarios and which way are the charts and data leaning.


CYB WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index
FXA CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust
FXC CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust
FXE Euro Currency Trust
FXI iShares China Large-Cap
JJC iPath Series B Bloomberg Copper Subindex Total Return ETN
SH ProShares Short S&P500
SLV iShares Silver Trust
SLX Market Vectors Steel Index Fund
SPX S&P 500 Index
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
USL United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
VIX Volatility Index CBOE
VXX iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FuturesTM ETN
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Latest Posts
Do The Charts Align With The Recession/Bearish Narrative?
In this video Chris looks at what we can learn about recession and bear market probabilities by examining the latest charts, data, and studies.
NASDAQ Rope-A-Dopes Bears: What Does It Mean For Stocks?
How meaningful was Thursday's intraweek reversal and Friday's follow-through? Was it just an oversold bounce or big trouble for the bears?
Will Fed Policy Bring Recession And Lower Lows In Stocks?
Did the markets just experience the mirror image of the bullish intraday reversal that occurred at the October 2022 S&P low? What is the Fed trying to accomplish, how do they plan to do it, and what does it mean for the stock market and US economy?
Has Everything Changed In The Stock Market Or Has Nothing Changed?
Do the Ichimoku Clouds align with or contradict the “Fed is pivoting us to a new long-term stock bull market” theory? Did Friday’s inflation data give the Fed room to breathe? Is the market wrong again on the pivot theory?

Work Experience

Chief Investment Officer
Ciovacco Capital Management
November 1999 - Present (24 years)
Financial Advisor
Morgan Stanley
April 1994 - November 1999 (5 years 8 months)
Marketing Representative
June 1991 - April 1994 (2 years 11 months)


Georgia Institute of Technology
BIE, Industrial Engineering
1985 / 1990