Bruce Pile - Comments
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Contributor's Links: Marketocracy Good Stock Investing
I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations. Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed ...more
Latest Comments
Gold And Safe Haven Confusion
8 years ago

I agree that rates are a nonfactor with gold. So many people think rising rates means better dollar and lower gold. But that's just not the way it works in history. I have a chart I made showing interest rates vs gold through the '70s and it shows that rates and gold rose almost in lock step through those years.

In this article: GLD
Gold And Safe Haven Confusion
8 years ago

My chart above doesn't click and enlarge very well for easy viewing here, but you can go to the copy of it at my blog "Good Stock Investing". Just google "Gold and Safe Haven Confusion" and click on the blog copy - the chart there enlarges very nicely. It shows the average gold performance of +39% vs the USD average of -3% over all the major stock market tumbles since 1971 - what actually works best as a safe haven.

In this article: GLD
Apple And Tech And The Market, Oh My
8 years ago

I didn't say the outlook for Apple is good. I don't really know, but it seems that the trend change going on all around them suggests more bad news. If traders are trying to paint the tape of AAPL, they haven't kept it from tracing out a bear track.

In this article: AAPL
Huge Repo Warning
8 years ago

I have been watching the Fed's reverse repo reports and was a little surprised to see all this going on with the reverse repos "undisturbed" as you put it. They have been making heavy use of this new "tool" since early 2014. Why are they not using it with this pretty dangerous looking gap? Will they use it now? I find it interesting that all this massive repo operation began about the same time that the big European banks began rolling over and breaking down technically - early to mid 2014. Does the Fed publish a repo fail chart like the one you show, or do you tabulate it?

A Major Bear Market Sign Is Developing
8 years ago

The run-up of the last 4 weeks doesn't even show in the 200 day moving average. Chris Ciovacco just put out an entertaining video here at Talk Markets "Have The Long-Term Trends Improved? You can decide" where he looks at how well the slope of the 200 say (SMA I'm assuming) tells if a major trend is changing amid volatility of a month or so.

I agree that there seems to be a crisis of confidence brewing over monetary policy globally. It looks like Marc Faber's Zero-Hour of monetary help is upon us. I've been writing articles on his projection for this for years now, the latest one being "Mapping The Zero-Hour Projections For 2015" I wrote at Seeking Alpha back in September. He was making this projection clear back in 2002, pegging 2015 as the year of vanishing monetary effectiveness.

In this article: SPX, DJI, DJT
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