Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Bank Credit Standards Eased--But Be Ready For The Next Tightening
Banks eased credit standards for business loans this quarter, reversing the tightening of late 2018.
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Does Economic Growth Cause Inflation? Sometimes -- And That Sometime Is Now
The simplest model of inflation assumes that there is some level of output that our economy is capable of producing.
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Housing Will Weaken Further In 2019 And 2020
Strong home price appreciation last year led many to wonder if housing was unsustainably strong. I thought not in November 2018. This update shows that housing will continue to soften, though not quite so much as previously expected.
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The Senior Market Will Grow Rapidly In The 2020s Decade
Just as age creeps up on people, the senior market creeps up on companies looking at quarter-to-quarter sales.
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The Fed's Dimmer View Of The Economic Forecast
With good economic growth, the Fed is likely to resume its tightening of monetary policy sooner than it now expects. Look for higher interest rates before the end of the year, with three or four quarter-point hikes in the next 12 months.
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China Is Too Mature For Rapid Growth
China had double-digit growth of inflation-adjusted GDP before the 2008 financial crisis, then three years in the 7% to 8% range, now four years between 6% and 7%, and last year its lowest growth since 1990. Why isn’t China growing at its old pace?
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BAC Bank of America Corporation
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GM General Motors Company
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
NKE Nike Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
TWX Time Warner Inc.
VLO Valero Energy Corporation
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TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Contributor
Forbes
December 2011 - Present (7 years 7 months)
Consultant
Conerly Consulting LLC
April 1996 - Present (23 years 5 months)
Strategic planning and the external business environment.
Cascade Policy Institute
Chairman of the Board
1995 - Present (24 years 9 months)
Senior Vice President & Economist
First Interstate Bank
September 1987 - March 1996 (8 years 8 months)
Senior economist and manager of economics department covering five-state region.
Director of Economic Research
NERCO, Inc.
July 1984 - June 1987 (3 years)

Education

Duke University
Ph.D.,
1974 / 1980
Economics
New College
B.A.
1971 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Businomics Blog
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics blog helps business leaders make more profitable decisions through a better understanding of the economy. Although it occasionally delves into public policy or investments, it's mostly focused on actionable information. When the business cycle turns, the Businomics blog helps business leaders understand how their daily challenges will turn. When new corporate strategy fads emerge, the Businomics blog uses hard-headed economic analysis to determine which parts of the new fad make sense, and which should be ignored.
Businomics: From The Headlines To Your Bottomline
William B. Conerly, Ph.D
William Conerly
Business leaders know that the economy affects their sales, costs and profits. But they often fail to translate economic news into action steps that will protect and grow their profits. The solution is Businomics™: From the Headlines to Your Bottom Line: How to Profit in Any Economic Cycle, which connects the dots between the economic news and business decisions. How vulnerable is your business to recession? Businomics™ explains why some sectors are highly susceptible to downturns, while others are fairly stable—and they are not always the sectors you expect! You may have studied macroeconomics in college, but the course was almost certainly mathematical and focused on policy. Businomics™ attacks the subject from the perspective of a business leader: what you must know to anticipate, prepare for and react to downturns in the economy. The book provides a step-by-step guide to developing an early warning system tailored specifically to your company.
Businomics Free Monthly Newsletter
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics(TM) Newsletter keeps you up to date in a simple graphical format. We'll email you two or three pages of charts once a month, with Bill's comments. Skim the newsletter for two minutes and you're up to date. View a sample and then sign up.