Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Government Shutdown Will Barely Lower The Economic Forecast For 2019
Even if the shutdown drags on a long time, it is unlikely to bring economic growth down much. But it might lead to a realization that we have too many government permits needed for everyday business.
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Business Planning For An Economic Crash
Recessions happen, and we economists are not very good at alerting companies ahead of time. So business leaders should have contingency plans in place well before their sales turn down.
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The Stock Market In 2019: Last Year's Decline Not A Good Forecast
Stocks were down last year. Does this mean that another decline will follow in 2019 or are poised for a rebound? The historical record is clear that the most likely outcome is no different than if we had enjoyed a “normal” year in 2018.
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No Economic Slowdown In New Employment Data
The net gain in jobs in December 2018 was the second highest of the year and substantially above average. This comes at a time when many are proclaiming an economic slowdown, and some even see a looming crash.
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U.S. Population Growth Slowing: Business Impacts On Labor Supply And Product Demand
The U.S. population grew by a low 0.62% in the year through July 1, 2018. The business implications are large, both in the market for goods and services and in the supply of labor.
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How A Business Can Survive An Economic Crash
Before any crash or recession, some preparatory work can be done. When a crash or recession comes, damage control will be the focus. This article addresses damage control during a downturn.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BAC Bank of America Corporation
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GM General Motors Company
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
NKE Nike Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
TWX Time Warner Inc.
VLO Valero Energy Corporation
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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Contributor
Forbes
December 2011 - Present (7 years 3 months)
Consultant
Conerly Consulting LLC
April 1996 - Present (23 years 1 month)
Strategic planning and the external business environment.
Cascade Policy Institute
Chairman of the Board
1995 - Present (24 years 5 months)
Senior Vice President & Economist
First Interstate Bank
September 1987 - March 1996 (8 years 8 months)
Senior economist and manager of economics department covering five-state region.
Director of Economic Research
NERCO, Inc.
July 1984 - June 1987 (3 years)

Education

Duke University
Ph.D.,
1974 / 1980
Economics
New College
B.A.
1971 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Businomics Blog
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics blog helps business leaders make more profitable decisions through a better understanding of the economy. Although it occasionally delves into public policy or investments, it's mostly focused on actionable information. When the business cycle turns, the Businomics blog helps business leaders understand how their daily challenges will turn. When new corporate strategy fads emerge, the Businomics blog uses hard-headed economic analysis to determine which parts of the new fad make sense, and which should be ignored.
Businomics: From The Headlines To Your Bottomline
William B. Conerly, Ph.D
William Conerly
Business leaders know that the economy affects their sales, costs and profits. But they often fail to translate economic news into action steps that will protect and grow their profits. The solution is Businomics™: From the Headlines to Your Bottom Line: How to Profit in Any Economic Cycle, which connects the dots between the economic news and business decisions. How vulnerable is your business to recession? Businomics™ explains why some sectors are highly susceptible to downturns, while others are fairly stable—and they are not always the sectors you expect! You may have studied macroeconomics in college, but the course was almost certainly mathematical and focused on policy. Businomics™ attacks the subject from the perspective of a business leader: what you must know to anticipate, prepare for and react to downturns in the economy. The book provides a step-by-step guide to developing an early warning system tailored specifically to your company.
Businomics Free Monthly Newsletter
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics(TM) Newsletter keeps you up to date in a simple graphical format. We'll email you two or three pages of charts once a month, with Bill's comments. Skim the newsletter for two minutes and you're up to date. View a sample and then sign up.