Arthur Donner | TalkMarkets | Page 27
Economic Consultant
Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ...more

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Higher U.S. Wage Gains May Finally Be Coming
The tightening of the American labor market in 2017 has been dramatic. Aside from the 2.1 million payroll jobs created over the year ending November, the national unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, a level not seen since the early 2000's.
What About The Risk Of A U.S. Yield Curve Inversion?
On December 13th the U.S. Federal Reserve increased its key policy interest rate. This policy move immediately raised short term Treasury yields, but the upward shift at the short end was not matched by an increase in longer-term Treasuries.
The Euro Area Countries Registered Strong Growth In 2017
The euro area economy has performed significantly better in 2017 than one would have expected a year ago.
The Global Economy Seems To Have Settled Into A Stable Pattern Of Growth
It is generally accepted that the global economic recovery from the Great Recession (2008-09) has been unusually weak.
Canada’s Job Market Has Been Surging This Year
The Canadian job market continued to tighten into November, even though the recently surging economy has been showing some signs of slowing.
Moody’s Upgraded India’s Credit Rating, Even Though The Economy Has Been Slowing
Moody’s recently upgraded India’s sovereign debt rating for the first time since 2004, overlooking many economic problems due to poorly implemented economic policies.
Imbalances In Global Current Accounts
Four of the largest economies in the world (the US, UK, China and Germany) have different current account positions, and at the same time, their economies are growing at rather different rates.
The Bank Of Canada’s Interest Rate Policy Remains Cautiously Conservative
For many years now, the Bank of Canada has followed a low-interest rate policy to support the Canadian economy in the rocky period following the Great Recession.
The Oil Price Impact On Canada’s Currency Has Weakened Since The Central Bank Started Raising Interest Rates
Canada’s economy is widely thought of as a commodity-based economy, and at times it seems as if the Canadian currency follows the ups and downs of oil prices.
The Complex Source Of Germany’s Huge Current Account Surplus
Germany’s current account surplus reached an all time high of 8.6% of GDP in 2015. Last year the surplus was still very high at 8.3% of GDP.
The Velocity Of Money Has Been Declining In The U.S., But Don’t Worry About It
The velocity of money, which is the ratio of GDP to the stock of money, is often regarded as an important indicator of the performance of the economy.
Trump Is Very Lucky. He Inherited A Strong Economy And A Healthy Job Market
The U.S. economy has very strong momentum behind it as it enters the 2017 holiday spending season. U.S. real GDP increased at a 3% annual rate in the third quarter of 2017.
The Global Recovery Broadens Out And Gains Strong Momentum
The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018.
The Euro Area Job Market Has Strengthened, But Unemployment Is Still Very High
The Euro Area unemployment rate was 8.9% in September. But of course, this average for the 19-member countries masks some very strong differences.
Britain’s Economy Has Been Decelerating Over The Past Three Years
Britain’s economic outlook is precarious, a conclusion which was clearly supported by a recent British budget watchdog report.
Will Trump’s Tax Policies Result In Higher Budget And Trade Deficits? Yes
President Trump has promised to cut federal taxes and reduce the U.S. trade deficits with other countries. Unfortunately for Trump, both history and economic theory suggest that these priorities are completely inconsistent.
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