Arthur Donner | TalkMarkets | Page 25

Arthur Donner

Economic Consultant
Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ...more
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China Recently Experienced A Shrinking Trade Surplus
Monday, March 5, 2018 7:46 AM EDT
China's total trade surplus in 2017 in USD was $422.5 billion, while the surplus with the U.S. grew to $275.8 billion.
In this article: CNY
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Reflections On China’s Published Economic Growth Rates And Financial Leverage
Sunday, March 4, 2018 10:21 AM EDT
Many critics of China’s official macroeconomic numbers point out that Chinese officials understate how much prices rise in China, which then results in an overstatement of the real GDP growth.
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China’s Economy Accelerated A Bit In 2017, Surprising Most Experts
Saturday, March 3, 2018 8:00 AM EDT
Although many economists doubt the veracity of China’s official macroeconomic numbers, nonetheless there is some confirming evidence that China’s economic growth rate was actually stronger in 2017 than in 2016.
In this article: MCHI
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The British Economy Sped Up In The Fourth Quarter, But The Outlook For 2018 Is Still Somewhat Chancy
Friday, March 2, 2018 7:42 AM EDT
The British economy seemed to accelerate in the fourth quarter of 2017, suggesting that perhaps the Brexit issue was not weighing as heavily on the economy as once feared.
In this article: EWU
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Canada’s Job Market Tanked In January, Though The Data Are Very Suspect
Wednesday, February 28, 2018 9:46 AM EDT
Adjusted to U.S. concepts, the unemployment rate in Canada was 4.9% in January, compared with 4.1% in the United States. In other words, the Canadian job market also seems to be quite tight, though not as tight as the American.
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American Jobs Expanded Strongly In January, And Wages Also Soared
Tuesday, February 27, 2018 8:52 AM EDT
U.S. employers created 200,000 new jobs in January, a modest increase over December and representing the 88th straight month of job growth.
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The Euro Area Economy May Have Entered A Goldilocks Phase Of Stable Growth And Low Inflation
Monday, February 26, 2018 7:12 AM EDT
The 19-nation euro-zone bloc has been enjoying its strongest economic expansion in a decade and there is a growing consensus that the zone is heading into a golden period of stable growth and low inflation.
In this article: EZU
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The ECB’s Quantitative Easing Program Worked Well For The Peripheral Countries
Sunday, February 25, 2018 10:10 AM EDT
From a European perspective the 2007/2008 financial meltdown had hardly faded away before the European Union faced a serious sovereign debt and banking crisis.
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The Large Central Banks Shift From Quantitative Easing To Quantitative Tightening
Saturday, February 24, 2018 8:00 PM EDT
We are entering a new monetary policy era since quantitative easing is fading in the U.S. and will also soon start to fade at the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England.
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The U.S. Fed Plans For At Least Three Interest Rate Hikes This Year
Friday, February 23, 2018 10:41 AM EDT
The American economy continues to be very strong and is operating at close to full capacity with little labor market slack.
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Many Advanced Economies Are Operating Close To Full Capacity
Friday, February 23, 2018 1:15 AM EDT
It is standard economic thinking that when demand exceeds supply, prices must rise.
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Canada Also Had Spectacular Job Creation In 2017
Saturday, February 3, 2018 8:40 AM EDT
The Canadian unemployment rate dropped two percentage points down to a record low of 5.7% in December, even though there also was a slight increase in the participation rate.
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Because The U.S. Job Market Is So Tight, Job Creation Will Likely Moderate This Year
Friday, February 2, 2018 1:30 AM EDT
The U.S. economy has now recorded two consecutive years of unusually strong job creation. As of December 2017, payroll employment in the U.S. expanded by 2.1 million over the year compared with a gain of 2.2 million jobs in 2016.
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Japan’s Economy Recovered Strongly In 2017, Government Indebtedness Is Staggeringly High
Thursday, February 1, 2018 7:30 AM EDT
Japan’s economy has been helped by the fact that the world economy has been growing at a reasonable pace. Japan’s labor market is very tight, wages are creeping up, and Japan may have finally conquered its deflationary concerns.
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The Popular Narrative Of A Declining U.S. Manufacturing Sector Is Only True In Terms Of Employment
Wednesday, January 31, 2018 10:46 AM EDT
By removing inflation from the GDP calculations, manufacturing share of real GDP in the U.S. has been roughly constant over the past 70 years.
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How Countries Manage Economic Downturns Depends On Their Policy Room To Maneuver
Tuesday, January 30, 2018 8:53 AM EDT
Countries facing economic or financial crises are better able to deal with them if the authorities have policy room to stimulate their economy using both monetary and fiscal policy measures.
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