Arthur Donner Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Economic Consultant

Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ... more

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E Global Recovery
With the pandemic still raging, the uneven global economic outlook has become even murkier, significantly weakened by low-income countries' limited access to vaccines.
E Canada’s Pandemic Recession Is Far From Over
Canada’s economic recovery was a bit stronger than the American, though in real terms, Canada’s recovery lagged the American.
E 10-Year Yields And Implications
Interest rates have been unusually stable since 2009. Some important global interest rate trends have emerged during the pandemic. Inflation expectations still remain a key determinant of bond yields.
E Canadian Savings Post Pandemic
Despite the steep economic downturn last year, family incomes in Canada have been strongly supported during the Covid crisis. 
E Is Canada’s Booming Housing Market Primed For A Financial Crash
As of the second quarter of 2021, the Canadian housing market is still booming in terms of new construction, high prices, and escalating sales.
E US GDP Projection Q2, 2021
We should expect a massive increase in US GDP in the second quarter of 2021.
E The US Economy Is Nearly Back To Pre-Covid Levels, But Still Far From Normal
There is little doubt that the US economy is bouncing back rapidly from its Covid downturn.
E Some G20 Economies Are Experiencing High Inflation And Unemployment
An overview of the G20 economies shows a wide range of growth and recovery but some are battling inflation and high unemployment, diluting their ability to bounce back.
E The Fed Tries To Cool Inflation Worries - But Will It Work?
For some time now the Fed’s official stance has been that it would tolerate inflation rising moderately above its 2% desired target pace. 
E An Encouraging Perspective On The Surging Canadian Dollar
A strengthening Canadian dollar should not prevent Canada’s economy from continuing on a fairly strong recovery trajectory. 
E Canada’s Job Market Will Have A Difficult Hill To Climb To Recover Lost Jobs
Despite a speedy economic and jobs rebound in March, how long it will take for Canada’s labor market to fully recover is still very much unknown.
E The Advanced Economies Are Really Recovering From The Pandemic Recession
The IMF expects the global recovery in 2021 and 2022 to be sparked by the two largest economies, the US and China.
E From A Deep Canadian Economic Decline To The Appearance Of A Rapid Economic Recovery
Canada’s central bank increased its economic growth projections for the Canadian economy to 6.5% this year.
E Canada’s Jobs Recovery From The Pandemic Downturn Is Very Different From Past Recessions
Canadian employment posted a whopping 303,100 surge in March, completing the recovery of the second wave shutdown losses. As the job market begins to recover, Canada’s labor force participation rate has nearly returned to its pre-crisis level.
E The Fed And Bond Market Similar Inflation Views
Inflation expectations expressed in the bond market have been rising for over a year. There should be some comfort in the fact that the Fed and the bond market hold similar views on future inflation.
E Inflation – A Spike Is Coming. Should We Worry?
What seems to worry a lot of professionals is that a huge inflation burst could emerge and then become deeply embedded in the economy, as was the case in the 1970s.
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