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Dow Fails At 20,000 & Payrolls Data: More Of The Same
Saturday, January 7, 2017 1:28 PM EDT
The Dow trying to hit 20,000 is like Shaquille O’Neal attempting free throws. Shaq was a great basketball player, but he wasn’t a great free throw shooter. The market is strong either way, but this milestone keeps failing to be reached.
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Bitcoin Falls Over 20%
Thursday, January 5, 2017 6:00 PM EDT
The bright side of bitcoin being tied to the Chinese yuan is it is expected to further depreciate.
In this article: BITCOMP Also: CNY
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Inflation Rises To 1.7% In Germany
Thursday, January 5, 2017 12:52 PM EDT
German inflation rose to 1.7% and European inflation increased to 1.1% in December.
In this article: EWG
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Bitcoin Approaches New Record High
Wednesday, January 4, 2017 5:48 PM EDT
The parabolic momentum has cascaded the Bitcoin price to near its record high. The current price is $1,103 and the all-time high was $1,242 set on November 29th, 2013. At one point today it was up about 18% year to date.
In this article: BITCOMP Also: CNY, FXB, FXC, FXE, UUP
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Hope Springs Eternal (Optimism In The Markets)
Wednesday, January 4, 2017 4:39 AM EDT
There are many ways to show the market is overly optimistic.
In this article: SPX
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New Monte Dei Paschi Information Trickles In
Sunday, January 1, 2017 7:45 PM EDT
I had stated more information would come out about the Monte Dei Paschi bail-out solution over the next 2-3 months, but, to my surprise, information has slowly trickled out about the details of the plans for the bank.
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Italian Bank / Russian Diplomacy
Friday, December 30, 2016 5:28 PM EDT
Monte Dei Paschi failed to raise 5 billion euros in the private market to prevent the need for a bail-out by the Italian government.
In this article: RSX, EWI
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Real Estate Bubble?
Friday, December 30, 2016 12:00 AM EDT
Another way to look at the real estate bubble is that high prices have made housing less affordable, so rising interest rates can be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. Interest rates have risen one percentage point since bottoming in July.
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Facebook Becoming Censorbook?
Thursday, December 29, 2016 1:06 PM EDT
Is Facebook going to have to fact-check the entire internet?
In this article: META
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India's Cash Ban
Wednesday, December 28, 2016 2:19 PM EDT
A 2% transaction tax would drive Indians outside the banking system which would counteract the goal to get them in the banking system with the cash ban.
In this article: BITCOMP, INDA
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Monte Dei Paschi Needs More Money
Tuesday, December 27, 2016 11:35 PM EDT
Monte Dei Paschi is going to need more money than expected which only complicates the matter because Italy is having a tough time convincing the ECB to allow it to bail the bank out.
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Monte Dei Paschi Is The Key To Europe
Sunday, December 25, 2016 8:38 PM EDT
If you thought the Monte Dei Paschi story was over, you underestimated the situation. It is only getting started. The results of how this plays out will have wide ranging ramifications for other troubled banks in the future.
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Poor Data: Weak Economy?
Friday, December 23, 2016 3:30 PM EDT
The Dow has fallen two days in a row for the first time since the election as negative data was able to temporarily stop the Dow from reaching the much heralded 20,000 level.
In this article: SPX
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Monte Dei Paschi The Zombie
Friday, December 23, 2016 4:00 AM EDT
The day the zombie bank Monte Dei Paschi is rescued is finally upon us. The bank tried to raise 5 billion Euros through the private market but failed. The bondholders’ debt for equity swap only netted the bank 2.45 billion Euros.
In this article: BMDPF, EWI
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Should You Sell Stocks Now?
Thursday, December 22, 2016 11:06 PM EDT
The level of bullishness in the market doesn’t represent reality. It has made sense to be bearish this year, but logic doesn’t matter when your contrarian portfolio has had a bad year.
In this article: CAT, GS, SPX
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Italian Bank Update
Thursday, December 22, 2016 12:23 AM EDT
Italy is coming closer to the inevitable government bailout of the world’s oldest bank Monte Dei Paschi. The situation was always bound to happen at some point, but the actual nationalization process could start in the next few days.
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