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Cohn Is Out Of The Running To Be The Next Fed Chair
Thursday, September 7, 2017 10:00 PM EDT
The Fed’s Beige Book report was released Wednesday. That’s where the Fed gives its update on how it sees the economy now and where it might be going in the future.
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Q3 Earnings Estimates Fall – Debt Ceiling Issue In Focus
Wednesday, September 6, 2017 9:43 PM EDT
The FactSet weekly earnings presentations resumed this week. The finalized metrics from the Q2 earnings season show there was a negative bias to every type of report which meant even firms that beat estimates fell.
In this article: SPX
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Stocks Sell-Off As Irma Looms
Wednesday, September 6, 2017 4:51 PM EDT
The stock market won’t sell-off hard when weak data comes out because investors know it will be temporary.
In this article: SPX
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ISM Manufacturing Report Signals 4.9% GDP Growth
Wednesday, September 6, 2017 1:53 AM EDT
With the big positive revision to Q2 GDP growth taking it up to 3.0% and the slight decline in some Q3 estimates, the odds of an acceleration in growth have diminished.
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35% Chance Of A Debt Ceiling Crisis
Tuesday, September 5, 2017 11:25 PM EDT
Goldman Sachs lowered its odds of a government shutdown, caused by the debt ceiling not being raised, from 50% to 35%. These numbers are somewhat arbitrary because there’s no way of knowing the precise odds of a shutdown.
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SPY Expected Move Fade Trade
Tuesday, September 5, 2017 10:00 PM EDT
Traders come back from Labor Day weekend hitting the sell button. Let's look at the SPY weekly expected move being hit on the downside on the first trading day of the week.
In this article: SPY
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7 Of The Top 8 Firms Are In Tech
Saturday, September 2, 2017 7:29 PM EDT
The stock market ended the month of August positive making it the 10th straight month the S&P 500 was up on a total return basis. In the past two days, it seemed like someone wanted the market to be up for the month as it rallied just enough.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN
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Stocks Have A Great Week Despite Subpar Labor Report
Saturday, September 2, 2017 4:23 PM EDT
The S&P 500 is 0.18% off its all-time high despite the weak labor report. The stock market rallied on this report because it keeps the Goldilocks economy going.
In this article: SPX, VIX
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Do Millennials Not Have Jobs?
Thursday, August 31, 2017 10:04 PM EDT
One of the biggest worries some people for the stock market is that baby boomers retiring will take money out of the stock market causing valuations to fall from their current lofty heights.
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Hurricane Harvey To Impact GDP
Thursday, August 31, 2017 7:54 PM EDT
The economy is in great shape as of August, but we will begin to see the hurricane affecting reports soon. One big issue which I didn’t mention is that there might be a labor shortage in Texas as far as getting enough workers to rebuild the area.
In this article: AAPL
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Employers Can’t Find Qualified Workers?
Wednesday, August 30, 2017 1:59 PM EDT
The ultimate question policymakers are trying to answer is when the labor market is going to be overheated. There are some areas in manufacturing where businesses can’t find qualified workers.
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Stocks Can’t Be Stopped By Natural Disaster Or Nuclear War Threats
Wednesday, August 30, 2017 1:13 PM EDT
The stock market hasn’t cared about the risk of nuclear war with North Korea or the devastation Texas has incurred from hurricane Harvey. However, if the U.S.’s debt is downgraded, the streak of the market avoiding a 3% correction will be over.
In this article: SPX
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Houston Houses Affected By Harvey Don’t Have Flood Insurance
Tuesday, August 29, 2017 6:49 PM EDT
The economy continues to show solid growth. The "only" things that can stop it and the market are weakness caused by hurricane Harvey and the threat of nuclear war with North Korea.
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Global Dovishness Spurs Growth, But Has Consequences
Tuesday, August 29, 2017 5:24 PM EDT
Besides the growth in margins moderating, the buybacks are also declining, hurting earnings per share. This makes sales growth even more important to second half earnings results.
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Yellen Talks Tough On Regulations At Her Last Jackson Hole Event
Saturday, August 26, 2017 9:15 AM EDT
In my last article, I discussed the possibilities of Yellen’s Friday speech. I was accurate in my expectation of what her speech would be on as the main point of her speech was to defend the regulations put in place since the last financial crisis.
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Could The Dollar Rise By The End Of The Year?
Thursday, August 24, 2017 3:33 PM EDT
We don’t know for sure what caused the dollar’s weakness, but one aspect that is probably hurting the dollar is the accelerating growth in China, Japan, and Europe.
In this article: UUP
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