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China Increases Its Tariff Rate To 25%
Optimism about economic growth is causing GDP estimates to increase, C&I lending standards to loosen, and the Fed fund futures market to anticipate more rate hikes.
Toys R Us And Government Hurt Great Jobs Report
There are two obvious details in the headline report which show it was great.
Stocks Less Than 1% Away From Record High As Greed Increases
The stock market is overbought, but deservedly so since earnings season has been amazing.
Business Optimism At A 6 Month Low?
After reviewing the non-manufacturing ISM report, you must be wondering about the stability of this recovery.
A Few Weeks Away From The Longest Bull Market Since WWII
The S&P 500 was up 0.35% on Monday, putting it at the highest close since late January, which was its record high.
Tariffs To Add $1,800 To The Sticker Price Of Toyota Camry
The ISM Manufacturing PMI was 58.1 which missed estimates for 59.5 and was below the prior report of 60.2.
Stocks Soar While Services PMI Weakens
The past few weeks in the stock market have been much like 2017 as there hasn’t been much volatility. The VIX is now down to 11.64 and the S&P 500 is closing in on its January record. The S&P 500 was up 0.46% to 2,840.35.
Fed Maintains Rates, Says The Economy Is Strong
The Fed’s decision to keep rates stable had almost no impact on the stock market. The next Fed decision which could affect the stock market is when the Fed decides to finish its rate hikes this cycle.
Union And Private Sector Workers See Accelerated Compensation Growth
The PCE report suggests the Fed shouldn’t raise rates at a quicker pace than 2017. If I was in control of policy, I would raise rates one more time in 2018 and once in 2019.
Review: Apple Grows EPS By 40%
Yesterday, Apple reported a great quarter as it beat EPS and revenue estimates. The only weak point was the miss in iPhone shipments.
Inflation Misses Estimates
Core PCE was up 0.1% month over month which missed estimates for 0.2% and was below last month’s improvement which was also 0.2%. Furthermore, core PCE was only up 1.9% year over year which was below the consensus for 2% inflation.
German Markit PMI Hits A 5 Month High
In Germany, the July core CPI was only 1.1% and the July headline CPI was 2.0%, falling from 2.1% in June and 2.2% in May. Both indexes fell as they follow the weakness in the overall German economy.
Tech Stocks Swoon, Led By FANG
With the weakness in tech causing the stock market to fall in the past 2 days, it seems like earning season isn’t going well.
Stocks Correct Despite Strong Earnings
Stocks were down on Friday because they were overbought.
Strong Philly Fed And Leading Indicators
The July Philly Fed manufacturing headline reading was strong as it came in at 25.7 which beat the consensus estimate for 22.
Facebook Crashes After Hours
The size of the decline in Thursday’s trading session could be historic because the company has such a large market cap.
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