Steven Saville | TalkMarkets | Page 2
Contributor's Links: The Speculative Investor
I graduated from the University of Western Australia in 1984 with a degree in electronic engineering and from 1984 until 1998 worked in the commercial construction industry as an engineer, a project manager and an operations manager. I began investing in the stock market 2 months prior to ...more

Articles

Latest Posts
17 to 32 of 392 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 ... 25 >>>
Boom-Bust Cycle Update - Tuesday, Nov. 23
In early July of this year, the HYIOAS was at its lowest level in more than 10 years and not far from an all-time low.
Reconciling High “Inflation” And Low Bond Yields
The US government just reported a 6.2% year-over-year increase in the CPI (refer to the following chart). This was the largest increase since 1990 and the second-largest increase since 1982.
Setting The Stage For The 2022 Bust
The US financial system currently has an abundance of ‘liquidity’. We know that this is the case because US credit spreads are close to multi-decade lows.
Looking At Oil From Different Perspectives
Today we’ll take a brief look at oil through three different lenses: The long-term price-action lens, the physical supply-demand lens and the macro-economic lens.
Boom-Bust Cycle Update
There are two things that always happen at or prior to the start of a boom-to-bust transition for the US economy. One is a clear-cut widening of credit spreads and the other is pronounced weakness in the Industrial Metals Index.
Collapsing Prices In An Inflationary Environment
Over the past four months, in parallel with spectacular gains in the prices of coal and natural gas prices, there have been spectacular declines in the prices of lumber and iron ore.
The Crisis-Monetization Cycle
The crisis-monetization cycle doesn’t end in deflation. The merest whiff of deflation just encourages central bankers and politicians to do more to boost prices.
No Gold Bull, Yet
The measuring stick is critical when determining whether an asset is in a bull market. If a measuring stick is losing value at a fast enough pace, then almost everything will appear to be in a bull market relative to it.
What Is The ‘Real’ Interest Rate?
The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate adjusted for the expected change in the associated currency’s purchasing power, where “expected” is the operative word.
Signaling A Boom-To-Bust Transition
There are two things that always happen at or prior to the start of a boom-to-bust transition for the US economy.
No Boom-To-Bust Transition, Yet
One of the most useful intermediate-term indicators of the financial/economic landscape is the performance of industrial metals relative to gold as indicated by the GYX/gold ratio.
When Will Rising Interest Rates Be A Major Problem For The Stock Market?
Rapidly inflating the money supply leads to a period of unsustainable economic vigor (a boom), while subsequent slowing of the monetary inflation rate leads to a transition from boom to bust.
Revisiting The Most Important Gold Fundamental
The average credit spread is the most reliable indicator of economic confidence. When economic confidence is high or in a rising trend, credit spreads will be narrow or in a narrowing trend.
When Will The Next US Recession Begin?
The latest leading economic data indicate that the recovery is intact and that the strong GDP growth reported for the first quarter of this year will continue.
The Boom Continues
The major trends in monetary inflation result in a boom-bust cycle.
The ‘V’ Recovery
The popular economic indicator called “GDP” actually reflects money-supply growth more than it reflects economic progress.
17 to 32 of 392 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 ... 25 >>>