Steven Hansen | TalkMarkets | Page 134
Managing Partner at Econintersect LLC
Contributor's Links: EconCurrents
Steven Hansen, Publisher and Co-founder of EconCurrents, is an international business and industrial consultant specializing in turning around troubled business units; consults to governments to optimize process flows; and provides economic indicator analysis based on unadjusted data and process ...more

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9 May 2015 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Averages Again Improves
Lowest level for Initial Claims since April 2000 The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 265,000 to 280,000 (consensus 276,000) vs the 264,000 reported.
Rail Week Ending 09 May 2015: Data Still Not Pretty. Rail Softness Continues
Week 18 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) declined according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data.
Import And Export Price Year-Over-Year Deflation Continues In April 2015. Much Less Deflation Was Expected By The Markets
Global trade prices continue to deflate year-over-year. Import prices are down 10.7% from a year ago, while export prices are down 6.3%. The market was expecting much less deflation.
March 2015 Business Inventories And Sales Improve
Unadjusted sales rate of growth accelerated 1.1% month-over-month, and down 0.8% year-over-year.
Retail Sales Continue To Slow In April 2015. Inflation Adjusted Sales Are OK
Retail sales were unchanged according to US Census headline data and was below expectations. We see a continued slowing of retail sales.
April 2015 Small Business Optimism Strengthens But Remains Below Historical Average
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)'s optimism index rose from 95.2 to 96.9. The market was expecting the index between 93.5 to 96.5 with consensus at 96.0.
Crediting Our Way Out Of GDP Growth
This continues to be the "defect" in modern monetary theory - low interest rates once installed cannot be removed without economic growth consequences.
April 2015 Consumer Credit Rate Of Growth Accelerated. Ratio Of Total Consumer Loans Outstanding To Consumer Spending Remains Near Historic Highs
Consumer credit growth did accelerate moderately in March 2015. Again this month, student loans are not distorting analysis of consumer credit growth.
Rail Week Ending 02 May 2015: Data Improves But It Is Still Not Pretty. Month Of April 2015 Rail Movements Contracted
Week 17 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic insignificantly improved according to the Association of American Railroads traffic data.
March 2015 CoreLogic Home Prices Year-Over-Year Growth Rate Now 5.9%. Home Price Growth Is Accelerating
CoreLogic's Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA are up 5.6% year-over-year year-over-year (reported up 2.0% month-over-month).
April 2015 ISM Services Index Improved. Important Internals Improved More
The ISM non-manufacturing (aka ISM Services) index continues its growth cycle, and improved marginally from 56.5 to 57.8 (above 50 signals expansion).
March 2015 Manufacturing Presents A Mixed Picture. Rolling Averages Marginally Improve
US Census says manufacturing new orders improved. Our analysis agrees. Consider that this data is noisy - and the rolling averages (which include transport) remain in contraction territory.
Slow But Steady Recovery For New Home Sales
In 1Q2006, residential construction comprised 6.6% of GDP - and is now recovering but at only 3.3% of GDP. Simply put, 3% of GDP has disappeared directly due to the slower growth rate of residential construction.
March 2015 Pending Home Sales Index Again Improves
The National Association of Realtors seasonally adjusted pending home sales index again improved and remains deeply in expansion.
April 2015 Texas Manufacturing Survey Manufacturing Activity Weakens Again
Of the four Federal Reserve districts which have released their April manufacturing surveys - one forecasts weak growth and three are in contraction. A complete summary follows.
May 2015 Economic Forecast: Slower Growth Continues With Confirming Evidence Of Economic Weakness
Economic Index is indicating growth will continue to be soft in May. The tracked sectors of the economy are relatively soft with most expanding but some contracting.
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