Paul Schatz | TalkMarkets | Page 15
Founder & President of Heritage Capital
Contributor's Links: Heritage Capital
Paul Schatz, Founder, and President of Heritage Capital has a wealth of experience investing in equities, fixed income, options, and futures. While he is best known for his equity index and precious metals models, his technical driven strategies have taken him into other asset classes as well. ...more

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Bulls Should Begin 2022 With A Win
The first trading day of the new year is seasonally very strong by a number of studies and that is reinforced by the late day weakness to end 2021.
Nasdaq The Beast Today
It has been a super nice run for the bulls into year-end and it certainly looks like Santa Claus came calling to Broad and Wall.
Behavioral Finance: Why Kevin, Janet, Bruce And Carrie Made The Investment Decisions (and Mistakes) They Did
I recently attended a workshop where I had the opportunity to speak with several investors. Four stand out in my memory for the mistakes they made. Do any of them sound a bit like you?
Stock Market Bottom Hammered In – Year-End Rally Supposed To Run
The stock market has bottomed and should rally into January, led by small-cap stocks. That is what is supposed to happen.
Stock Market Not Doing What It Is “Supposed” To Do
When something is “supposed” to happen and doesn’t, or the opposite occurs, that can be a powerful sign to go with.
Inflation Peaking – Bulls Need To Step Up This Week
Last Friday the government released the Consumer Price Index which showed the highest inflation since 1981, 6.8%.
Bulls Best Not Fail Here
Although it is a powerfully bullish time of year and the bulls certainly proved their mettle off of the recent lows, it would be significantly bearish for stocks to fail right here and rollover.
Bulls Dominate
Well, well, well, the bulls certainly made some noise over the first two days of the week. I imagine the bears were not too concerned after Monday’s big bounce, but Tuesday likely induced the pain trade and forced many to reign in their bearishness.
Bears Surge – Stocks Still Looking For A Low
Buyers should not be done and we should see the bulls attempt to follow through.
Stocks Bounced And Declined – What Now? Omicron Not To Blame
To date, the S&P 500 is down 4%+ from its all-time high seen last month. The weakness is worse in the mid and small caps.
Bounce Coming, Bottom Not In & Inflation Peaking
Tuesday was an ugly day with almost 90% of the volume trading on the downside after 90% traded that way on Friday. Ugly indeed.
Friday’s Drubbing – Silver Linings & Where Stocks May Bottom
The bears think this is the beginning of the end for the bull market and a collapse lies in wait for 2022. The bulls find the decline “curious” and interestingly timed along with the utter collapse in oil.
A 30-50% Collapse?
The Russell small caps have pulled back 4%+ and there is a chorus of doomsday’ers warning of impending collapse. While they may be right some day, I do not think today is that day.
Inflation Peaking – Sentiment Greedy, Giddy & Euphoric
Sentiment alone will not end a bull market. Just like bull markets do not die of old age, it takes a confluence of factors along the way.
Pullback Coming But Bears Won’t Be Happy
The stock market is going to pull back sooner than later. It should be in the 1-3% range.
No Surprises
The rally since late September has been powerful and relentless.
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