Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 28

Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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VIX Acts Like It Wants To Rally
Monday, November 23, 2020 2:31 AM EDT
Small-caps and tech continue to diverge. Post-vaccine news, longs are gravitating toward the former and leaving the latter. Amidst this, signs of fatigue are also showing up on the S&P 500, while VIX acts like it wants to rally.
In this article: PFE, IWM, MRNA, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Commitment Of Traders, Futures Positions Of Non-Commercials This Week
Sunday, November 22, 2020 12:29 AM EDT
Major equity indices have since gone on to post new highs, but VIX has managed to hold its own. Even amidst the prevailing euphoria, the demand for protection is there.
In this article: IAU, QQQ, GLD, IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: PFE, IWM, UUP, MRNA
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Downside Risk Higher Than Upside Potential On Major Equity Indices
Thursday, November 19, 2020 5:27 AM EDT
Major US equity indices are in overbought territory, particularly daily, with several sentiment readings already elevated. The risk is to the downside.
In this article: PFE, MRNA, SPX
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Commitments Of Traders - Mid-Nov.
Tuesday, November 17, 2020 3:05 AM EDT
The fact is that the S&P 500 posted a new high on Nov. 9, but VIX did not even test support at low-20s, let alone lower. At least going by the way VIX is behaving, new highs in equity indices is yet to signal full-fledged risk-on.
In this article: IWM, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: BNO, PFE, FXE, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, GLD, IVV, MRNA, NDX, META, GOOGL, SPTL
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Major Equity Indices End Right At/Near Resistance; Breather Due – Either Right Here Or Post-Breakout
Monday, November 16, 2020 2:55 AM EDT
Last Monday, major equity indices all opened up strong but by Friday they diverged. Small-caps led, while tech lagged. Despite this, they all closed out the week at/near resistance. Breakout will further push them into extended territory.
In this article: IWM Also: QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, SPY, NDX, META, SPX, GOOGL
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Vaccine Or Not, Fed Chair Powell All But Promises Continued Easy Money
Saturday, November 14, 2020 8:43 AM EDT
The US economy is up to the gills in leverage. A sustained rise in interest rates will hurt.
In this article: QQQ, IWM, SPY
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In Post-Pfizer Growth-To-Value Shift, Russell 2000 Benefits Immensely — ’21 Earnings Estimates Front And Center
Wednesday, November 11, 2020 5:28 AM EDT
The Russell 2000 rallied huge the last seven sessions, as post-Pfizer news in particular investors have rerated value versus growth. With this, next year’s earnings estimates are front and center.
In this article: SPSM, IWM, PFE
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Major US Equity Indices Rally Huge Into Resistance Last Week; Likely To Be On Pins And Needles Until Georgia Runoff Outcome
Monday, November 9, 2020 4:44 AM EDT
US equities surged last week pricing in a divided government. The focus now shifts from the White House to Georgia, to the runoff election on January 5th. If the Senate flips, risks of higher taxes and bigger budget deficit meaningfully go up.
In this article: NDX, SPX Also: SPTL
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Examining The Future Thru Futures, What Hedge Funds Buy - CoT This Week
Sunday, November 8, 2020 1:00 AM EDT
After tentative action last Thursday and Friday, volatility simply collapsed this week.
In this article: IAU, QQQ, GLD, IVV, IWM, SPY, VOO, VIX, VXV Also: IEF, FXE, DBO, TLT, UDN, USL, UUP
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3-Week Selloff Pushes Major Equity Indices To Crucial Support – Opportunity For Bulls To Step Up And Defend
Monday, November 2, 2020 2:26 AM EDT
Major US equity indices took it on the chin last week. Medium- to long-term, there is more to go on the downside – if nothing else just to unwind overbought conditions. Near-term, in the right circumstances for bulls, a relief rally is possible.
In this article: IWM, SPY, NDX, SPX, VIX, VXV
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Commitment Of Traders Report: Futures Positions, What Hedge Funds Are Buying
Sunday, November 1, 2020 2:03 AM EDT
As leveraged as the economy is, with national debt north of $27 trillion, corporate debt at $11 trillion and household debt north of $16 trillion, higher rates will bite. And GLD is beginning to bleed.
In this article: IAU, QQQ, GLD, IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: FXE, IEF, TLT, USO
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Just Before Wed Sell-Off, Investors Intelligence Bulls Rose To 8-Week High – N/T Notwithstanding, Sentiment Remains Effusive L/T
Thursday, October 29, 2020 8:54 AM EDT
A day before Wednesday’s mini-collapse in major US stock indices, Investors Intelligence bulls reached a multi-week high. Some of these indices are near important support, providing bulls an opportunity to regroup.
In this article: IWM, SPY
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Russell 2000 Once Again Loses 1600+; Russell 2000:S&P 500 Fails At Horizontal Resistance
Wednesday, October 28, 2020 3:27 AM EDT
The ratio of Russell 2000 to S&P 500 fails at the upper line of an ascending triangle. Concurrently, the small cap index fails to save 1600-plus breakout retest.
In this article: IWM, SPX
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Margin Debt Grows In Sep – A Down Month – Russell 2000 Breaks Out In Oct; Bulls Will Love If Russell 2000:S&P 500 Breaks Out Next
Monday, October 26, 2020 3:20 AM EDT
September was a down month, but it turns out the selloff was used as an opportunity to buy. Use of leverage grew last month. Amidst this risk-on behavior, bulls will be all smiles should the ratio of Russell 2000 to the S&P 500 break out.
In this article: IWM, NDX, SPX
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CoT: Futures Positions Of Non-Commercials Update
Sunday, October 25, 2020 2:10 AM EDT
Bulls probably were not too happy with how within three weeks non-commercials unwound massive net shorts in Nasdaq 100 index (mini) futures without much of a lift to the cash. But bygones be bygones.
In this article: IAU, GLD, IVV, SPY, VOO, VIX Also: FXE, IEF, IWM, TLT, UDN, UGA, USO, UUP
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Housing Strong; ITB, Having Rallied To New High This Month, Tests Major Resistance – Unsuccessfully Thus Far
Wednesday, October 21, 2020 2:12 AM EDT
US housing is going gangbusters. Sales are very strong. Builder optimism is at a record. Starts have recovered strongly. Amidst all this, ITB, having risen to a new high this month, is running into massive resistance.
In this article: DHI, NVR, ITB, LEN, PHM
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