Paban Pandey | TalkMarkets | Page 22
Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more

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Fed Monetary Policy Lit Fire Under Housing, ITB Acts Like It Reached Important Peak
The Fed’s monthly purchases of bonds has been housing friendly. Reading the tea leaves from this week’s FOMC Meeting, the central bank could begin to reduce the pace of buying toward the end of this year.
Week Could Be Volatile, But Stocks Likely Will Try To Pick Up Where They Left Off
Ahead of a crucial week in which the FOMC meets and the top six US companies report, large-cap equity indices broke out to new highs last week. The knock on this is that rangebound small-caps are yet to achieve that feat.
What They're Buying: Commitment Of Traders This Week
Futures positions of non-commercials; economic calendar, impact on bonds, etc.
Snorting Bulls Yet Again Defend 50-DMA On S&P 500
Monday’s selloff was bought – again. Since May last year, the 50-day on the S&P 500 has elicited buying interest nine times. Next week’s June-quarter results from the top six US companies will decide if this trade works this time or not.
Peeking Into The Future Thru Futures, CoT Purchasing
Ahead of 2Q earnings, major US indices, including the S&P 500, had rallied strongly, with decent cooperation from flows. They seem to now run dry.
Investor Sentiment Continues Elevated, Nasdaq Internals Diverge With Tech-Heavy Index
Investors Intelligence bulls-to-bears ratio hit four this week – a rare occurrence.
Heavily Levered Up, US Corporations Continue To Aggressively Issue Bonds In Risk-On Environment
Corporate bond issuance was strong in the first half. High-yield, in particular, is on course for yet another record year.
CoT This Week: The Future Via Futures, Noncommercial Positions
Cash is coming out of money market funds, losing $101.3 billion in the past month, to $4.5 trillion. The so-called cash-on-the-sidelines remains massive, and bulls hope these funds continue to bleed and that stocks get their fair share.
Equity Bulls Hope Investor Sentiment Persists At Current Elevated Level
Investors Intelligence bulls crossed 60% this week. It is rare for sentiment to persist at 60 percent or higher. Yet, equity bulls at this juncture are probably wishing that happens. They need to be able to first defend the 50-day on the S&P 500.
Major Equity Indices At/Near New Highs Ahead Of 2Q Earnings; Revision Trend +VE Throughout Quarter
The 2Q earnings season begins in earnest next week. Ahead of this, major equity indices are at or near their highs.
Commitment Of Traders This Week, How Non-Commercials Are Positioned
Either bond vigilantes are not convinced inflation is a genuine concern or they are beginning to price in economic slowdown induced by earlier tightening of monetary policy.
Amid Heightened Inflation Worry, 10-Year T-Yield Vulnerable To Downside Surprise
As talk around inflation has gone up several notches, the 10-year treasury yield sits on triple support. A breach has room to squeeze TLT shorts.
Major Equity Indices Break Out To New Highs, Worth Keeping Immediate Support In Mind
Major equity indices had a good week last week. Stocks are currently in the midst of many crosscurrents, not to mention inflation, aggressive monetary policy and several extended metrics.
Latest Commitment Of Traders, Future Positions Of Non-Commercials
Doves have won – for now. But stocks are hooked on this monetary morphine.
Fed Put At Work – After Slight Hiccup Last Week, Equity Indices Back At/Near Highs
One of the primary reasons for equity bulls to maintain their positive posture is the monetary support provided by the Fed.
Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned As Of June 15
Last week’s FOMC meeting pulled a surprise on markets. Members brought forward their projections for interest rate hikes into 2023, with 11 of them penciling in at least two quarter-point increases for 2023.
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