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Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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17 to 32 of 930 Posts
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Amidst Pervasive Bullish Sentiment, Signs Of Exhaustion Show Up In US Equity Indices
Monday, March 11, 2024 7:18 AM EDT
Amidst ecstatic bullish sentiment, major US equity indices last week exhibited signs of exhaustion. Confirmation is needed, but equity bears may have an opening here – duration and magnitude notwithstanding.
In this article: NVDA
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CoT Report: Futures Positions Of Noncommercials, What Hedge Funds Are Buying / Selling
Sunday, March 10, 2024 1:16 AM EDT
If this week’s indecision candle gets confirmed, more down weeks lie ahead for the S&P500. Given how overbought the overall conditions are, weakness looks probable in the weeks ahead.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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Nasdaq 100 Dec Breakout Followed By S&P 500 Jan Breakout, Mid-Caps Likely To Break Out Soon, Small-Caps Unlikely To Repeat Feat
Monday, March 4, 2024 7:25 AM EDT
The Nasdaq 100 is going gangbusters. With two months and a session in, it is already up 8.8 percent this year. From last October’s lows, it is up 30.4 percent – and 75.6 percent from the lows of October 2022!
In this article: QQQ, DIA, SPX
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What Hedge Funds, Noncommercials Are Buying And Selling, Per CoT
Sunday, March 3, 2024 1:35 AM EDT
The current lack of momentum for the bulls is highlighted by the fact that the weekly RSI is turning lower at the median.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, UDN, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX Also: NVDA
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Mid- And Small-Caps Lag Large-Caps From Oct ’22 Lows, But Neck And Neck From ’23 Lows
Monday, February 26, 2024 11:50 AM EDT
With the 4Q earnings season nearly over, large-caps were in the black last year, while mid- and small-caps were in the red.
In this article: SPX
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CoT Report As Crystal Ball: Peeking Into Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Buying
Sunday, February 25, 2024 1:05 AM EDT
In the futures market, fed funds traders have now reduced rates outlook to three 25-basis-point cuts this year. This is right in line with what the December dot plot telegraphed – up from two at the September meeting.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX Also: BNO, NVDA, UDN, SPX
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March Dot Plot Can Surprise Markets
Thursday, February 22, 2024 4:45 AM EDT
It is very possible the FOMC dot plot will go back to forecasting two cuts this year, down from three at the December meeting.
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Sifting The CoT Report - How Hedge Funds, Noncommercials Are Positioned
Sunday, February 18, 2024 2:25 AM EDT
Post-CPI, equity bears had an opportunity this week to wrest con.trol of short-term momentum, but the bulls would not let them
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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Way Overbought US Equity Indices Used January’s CPI Report As Excuse To Weaken
Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:07 AM EDT
US equities sold off Tuesday – apparently in reaction to higher-than-expected CPI readings for January. The consensus may have expected better prints, but the fact remains that last month’s y/y change was better than December’s.
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4Q Small-Cap Earnings Coming In Weak, Sell-Side Expects Blockbuster 2024, But Russell 2000 Fails To Agree
Monday, February 12, 2024 6:34 AM EDT
Small-cap earnings are coming in much weaker than expected when these companies began reporting the fourth quarter – or even when the December quarter began.
In this article: QQQ, DIA, SPX
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Mining This Week's CoT Report - Via Futures, What Commercials & Noncommercials Are Buying
Sunday, February 11, 2024 2:29 AM EDT
Non-commercials, with massive holdings of net shorts in 10-year-note futures, act as if the takeout of 4.2 percent is just a matter of time. Fingers crossed!
In this article: FXE, ONEQ, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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January Barometer Bodes Well For S&P 500, Which Remains Extremely Overbought
Monday, February 5, 2024 7:37 AM EDT
January ended up 1.6 percent. Historically, an up January bodes well for the rest of the year. This may very well be the case this year, but one should not be oblivious of how overbought the S&P 500 is.
In this article: SPX
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Looking At The CoT Report, The Future Thru Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Sunday, February 4, 2024 1:37 AM EDT
The Russell 2000 diverged with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 in a big way. The small cap index dropped 0.8 percent for the week, while the other two indices were solidly in the plus column.
In this article: FXE, ONEQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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Federal Reserve Chair Should Be Commended For Not Giving In To Markets’ Utopian Demands
Thursday, February 1, 2024 7:13 AM EDT
On Wednesday, Powell confirmed that the fed funds rate has peaked and that the next move is lower but did not go far enough to please equity bulls drooling over prospects of a cut in March.
In this article: SPX
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With Big Gains In Stocks, Major Tech Companies On Schedule To Report 4Q 23 Earnings, FOMC Likely To Disappoint Equity Bulls
Monday, January 29, 2024 6:23 AM EDT
It is an FOMC week. The meeting is taking place at a time when markets are demanding aggressive cuts this year and the Fed is saying ‘no way’.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, INTC, MSFT, NFLX, META
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Analyzing The Latest CoT: The Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Sunday, January 28, 2024 12:16 AM EDT
Last week, VIX rallied – hand in hand with the S&P 500, which in and of itself is rare. Volatility likely gets bid up in the sessions ahead.
In this article: FXE, QQQ, GLD, IEF, IWM, SPY, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, VIX
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17 to 32 of 930 Posts
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