Michael Ashton | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Inflation Products and Markets Expert
Contributor's Links: E-piphany What’s Wrong With Money?
On Bloomberg TV his audiences know him as the “Inflation Guy.” In the inflation markets he is known as a pioneer, having traded the very first interbank US inflation swaps and having been the sole market maker for the CPI futures contract. He is considered as the ...more

Articles

Latest Posts
33 to 48 of 273 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 5 ... 18 >>>
Homes Have Gotten Cheaper By Running In Place
As home prices have stagnated and wages have been rising rapidly to keep pace with inflation, the cost of a home relative to the wages people are receiving has dropped pretty sharply.
The Powell Of Positive Thinking
Since monetary policy works with a lag and there has been very little lag since the aggressive tightening campaign began, it would be reasonable to slow down or stop to assess the effect that prior hikes have had.
Is Inflation Mean-Reverting?
Over the last couple of decades, the assumption that inflation is mean-reverting to something approximating the Fed’s target level has become a key component of most economists’ models.
We Are All Bond Traders Now
For many years now, the stock market has acted as if what the Fed does is far more important than what the businesses themselves do.
The Quintillion-Dollar Coin
By paying off all federal debt, increasing spending, and decreasing taxes to zero, the money supply would increase immensely and immediately.
The Monetary Policy Revolution In Three Charts
If the Fed succeeds in bringing inflation gently back down to target it will be either a monumental accomplishment or, more likely, monumentally lucky.
Oil Be Home For Christmas
As a general rule, don’t trade on pre-holiday thin-liquidity sessions.
Fair Is Fair, And TIPS Are There (Almost)
At the current level, with TIPS at fair or slightly-cheap relative value and approaching fair absolute value, it is worth accumulating TIPS as a long-term hold.
Corn Prices – Has The Correction Run Its Course?
In the long run, the general level of corn prices is driven by the purchasing power of the dollar and the steady improvement in agricultural productivity. In the short run, corn prices are driven by fertilizer prices.
Do Rents Really Actually Lead Home Prices?
Traditionally, observers of the inflation market have forecast rent based on a simple lag of home prices. There are reasons to suspect that’s not the whole story, but it has worked for a very long time.
The Coming Rise In Money Velocity
A rise in velocity would be a really bad thing because the money supply is very unlikely to decline very far, especially while bank credit growth continues to grow.
One Experiment Ends And Another Begins
When policymakers make massive errors they always seem to think that no one saw the mistake coming.
Why Roughly 2.25% Is An Equilibrium Real Rate
Recently, Fed officials have taken to discussing “long-term equilibrium” interest rates as a way of indicating to the market where interest rates might ultimately be heading.
Inflation Is A Tax
The government gets more revenue when you produce more, but it also gets more just because prices go up.
High Prices Don’t Cure High Prices
This was an interesting week, one in which equity investors finally and abruptly got the message that high inflation is bad for the market.
What Happens Next?
A valuable strategist/forecaster is not the one who can tell you what they think the actual future will be. The most valuable strategists have two strong skills.
33 to 48 of 273 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 5 ... 18 >>>