Kevin Muir | TalkMarkets | Page 14
Private Investor
Contributor's Links: The Macro Tourist Where Is Beeks?
I am a private investor who used to work for a big Canadian bank as a derivative index trader. I have been writing a journal for myself for many years. From time to time I have shared these posts with colleagues and friends on my site, The Macro Tourist. ...more

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Are Stock Traders Actually More Pessimistic Than Bond Traders?
Shouldn’t investors be dumping utility stocks? We find investors gobbling up utilities like rates are never going higher.
Crude Oil Spec Positioning Revisited
China buying crude oil as a way to diversify their US dollar holdings makes complete sense. And don’t forget, China is not like Bank of Japan or the Federal Reserve. They aren’t going to announce their purchases ahead of time.
My Great Bitcoin Bungle
Virtual currencies could prove a legitimate threat to government fiat currencies. No doubt about it.
A Contrarian Idea About Deficits
Not all government borrowing is bad. At the same time, not all government borrowing is good. Differentiating between good and bad spending (investing) will be the key to deciding which countries’ deficits you should worry about.
China Downgrade - Buy The News?
Many traders are getting their knickers in a knot about yesterday’s Chinese downgrade by Moody’s. Suddenly, the Kyle Bass Chinese implosion scenario is on everyone’s lips.
A Bearish Positive Carry Trade
The Eurostoxx outperformance of the past month has garnered a lot of attention, but there is another similar trade many investors are missing. Not only that, but it has a positive carry, something that is sorely lacking in the age of NIRP.
Stock Market Shakeout
The risk-off move continues this morning. Although most pundits are attributing the sudden decline to Trump’s Comey woes, it feels like there is more going on.
Was Noble The Silver Seller?
I am unsure if the poor economic performance was coincidental or causal, but it doesn’t really matter. Higher real rates, combined with an economy rolling over, are a poor environment for commodities.
The VIX Article No One Will Like
The VIX is currently quite low. Over the past few days we have even flirted with single digits. It would be perfectly natural for volatility to pick back up to mid teens in the coming weeks.
An Epic Trading Tale From Norway
Trading is a tough game. You are competing against some incredibly smart people. I have by no means figured out the formula, but I do know that chasing the obvious headline news is not the answer.
Loonie Bears Are The New Cool Kids
There is no denying that the Loonie is a petro-currency. Instead of trading CAD, you might as well just trade WTI.
Eurostoxx Serves Up A Gift
Macron ended up destroying Le Pen in this weekend’s French election. But, much to the surprise of all the Euro bulls, both the Eurostoxx and Euro currency sold-off on the announcement.
Wallace Prepares To Buy Some Silver
The real question is whether it is time to buy. I have been waiting like William Wallace with the English rushing at him on horseback.
Axe Would Hate Risk Parity
I worry fixed income managers are already suffering from an inability to imagine rates ever heading higher. The boat is lopsided with four generations of portfolio managers who have never seen a real bear market in bonds.
Sell Euros - It's That Time Of Year Again
A couple of weeks ago investors were scrambling to buy Euro currency protection in front of the French election? But by now, a Macron’s win is expected and pretty much priced in. But is there a buy-the-rumor-sell-the-news reaction brewing?
The Last Remaining Cheap Asset
Today we face expensive assets everywhere we look. There is absolutely nothing easy left so I would rather go looking for something truly forgotten, hated, and cheap. And nothing fits this bill better than grains.
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