Kelsey Williams | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Gold Analyst
Contributor's Links: Kelsey's Gold Facts
Kelsey Williams has more than forty years experience in the financial services industry, including fourteen years as a full-service financial planner. His website, Kelsey's Gold Facts, ...more

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How High Can Silver Go?
Silver's uptrend since its low one year ago, although impressive, is still part of a longer-term downtrend that is almost three years old.
Gold At $4000 - What Will It Take?
For that to happen, the U.S. dollar would have to lose fifty percent of its current purchasing power. It could happen, but how soon and how quickly? The shorter the time period, the more devastating the effects.
Gold's Deceptive New Highs
Expectations for "new highs" in gold are unrealistic and untimely. Any such highs will come only after more losses in U.S. dollar purchasing power, and could be several years away.
Gold Bulls Are Too Price-Dependent
Effects of inflation are unpredictable and disproportionate to the amount of inflation created. Hence, accurately predicting a future gold price is theoretically impossible. Attempts to do so lead to price dependency, which is risky and costly.
High Prices Are Not Inflation
Continuous expansion of the supply of money and credit cheapens the value of all money in circulation and leads to a loss in purchasing power. The loss in purchasing power shows up in the form of higher prices, which are the effects of inflation.
Does Crypto Still Have Value?
The value of cryptocurrencies has to do with the transaction process. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have value because they provide a process for the private transfer of money. Without that privacy, any imputed value is suspect.
Gold Leaves Silver In The Dust
Over time, silver moves back and forth over the same ground without moving higher; and always falls farther and faster than gold.
The Rising Cost Of Producing Gold
Production costs are rising faster than the price of gold, squeezing the potential profit margins of the miners.
Fed Interest Rate Policy – 2008, 1929, And Now
The bubble continued to grow until the Fed changed their interest rate policy early last year. Since then, asset prices have come down substantially and recovered somewhat. More importantly, the economy has slowed measurably.
Gold Price - What New Highs?
What some investors and others call bull markets in gold (1971-80; 2001-2011; 2016-2020) are nothing more than the gold price playing catch-up to the most recent effects of inflation. 
Will Cryptocurrencies Become Fiat Currencies?
Investors who still think that BTC and other cryptos can make them rich are fooling themselves. Once governments are fully in control, it will no longer be a free market.
Silver Is A Screaming Bargain
There is nothing historically to support claims for the silver price to reverse its long-term downtrend or exceed its previous peaks. It can't even do that on a nominal price basis.
The Fed's Changing Game Plan
The Fed has a history of changing direction abruptly, especially with regards to their intention for interest rates. History doesn't reflect favorably on the results of those changes.
Demand For Money Could Cause Deflation
There are growing indications that the demand for money is now increasing. The drop in bond and stock prices resulting from higher interest rates, plus actual or expected job losses, drops in home sales and other reasons are all contributing factors.
Demand For Money - Liquidity Crisis
What has been termed a banking crisis is actually a liquidity crisis. The loss of liquidity translates to a DEMAND for money. The demand for money is increasing and could result in deflation.
SVB, MMT, And TNT
The Silicon Valley Bank fiasco is an in-your-face example of the systemic risk inherent in fractional-reserve banking.
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