Nobody is sanction proof. Even North Korea depends on trade. There is no shipping now. Russia is being forced into vassal state status with regards to China.
Their decision to nationalize will cripple their economy for as long as the current government is in place. No investors will trust the Russian government not to do this (not that they should have).
If the oligarchs want not to be Chinese vassals, they might need to fix this problem.
You could literally poison the vodka. Russian troops are looting grocery stores. Put Fentanyl in all the vodka in stores and you'd eliminate a third of the army.
Temps have dropped, so Russia might be able to drive over open country. Next few days critical. If they are still in open country by Monday or Tuesday - when temps shoot up - they will be stuck.
It is definitely not. But Poland is. And if the Russians get too pissed about Poland serving as an insurgent base they might try NATO's resolve by attacking into Poland.
They'd get their rear ends handed to them on a platter, but they might try.
Spring is here. They can prioritize warmth and probably be fine while other sources are ramped up. Putin really needs that cash, so he won't shut it down. If he'd done this in November he'd have been in a much stronger position.
There is empathy. There is also a major Russian military force 100km from where I live. Israel strikes at Iranian targets under the Russian shield. Losing that ability could be catastrophic. That and Ben Gurion airport regularly has its guidance systems shut down by Russian air defense in Syria. We can help Ukraine, but we can't really afford to piss off Russia - we don't have a NATO shield.
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Ancient Lessons For Modern Planners
Nobody is sanction proof. Even North Korea depends on trade. There is no shipping now. Russia is being forced into vassal state status with regards to China.
Their decision to nationalize will cripple their economy for as long as the current government is in place. No investors will trust the Russian government not to do this (not that they should have).
If the oligarchs want not to be Chinese vassals, they might need to fix this problem.
Ancient Lessons For Modern Planners
You could literally poison the vodka. Russian troops are looting grocery stores. Put Fentanyl in all the vodka in stores and you'd eliminate a third of the army.
Ancient Lessons For Modern Planners
I was trying to pick something TM appropriate. But pick a better title and I can let the grand poo-bahs know :)
Ancient Lessons For Modern Planners
Temps have dropped, so Russia might be able to drive over open country. Next few days critical. If they are still in open country by Monday or Tuesday - when temps shoot up - they will be stuck.
The Ukrainian Swan
They are, with the Turkish drones.
The Ukrainian Swan
It is barely moving now. Hit a few fuel trucks and it stops.
Bring Back The Curtain
It is definitely not. But Poland is. And if the Russians get too pissed about Poland serving as an insurgent base they might try NATO's resolve by attacking into Poland.
They'd get their rear ends handed to them on a platter, but they might try.
Bring Back The Curtain
People claim Israelis are Nazis. People are very flexible.
Bring Back The Curtain
Spring is here. They can prioritize warmth and probably be fine while other sources are ramped up. Putin really needs that cash, so he won't shut it down. If he'd done this in November he'd have been in a much stronger position.
Bring Back The Curtain
There is empathy. There is also a major Russian military force 100km from where I live. Israel strikes at Iranian targets under the Russian shield. Losing that ability could be catastrophic. That and Ben Gurion airport regularly has its guidance systems shut down by Russian air defense in Syria. We can help Ukraine, but we can't really afford to piss off Russia - we don't have a NATO shield.