James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 121

James Picerno

Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more
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US Business Cycle Risk Report - Monday, Jan. 24
Tuesday, January 24, 2017 6:53 AM EDT
Economic growth kept recession risk low in the final month of 2016. After wobbly readings in the first half of last year, the macro trend has strengthened in recent months and near-term projections point to a modest acceleration.
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A Quiet Trading Week As Trump Assumes Presidency
Monday, January 23, 2017 7:20 AM EDT
Global markets traded in a tight range last week, based on a set of exchange-traded products representing the major asset classes.
In this article: BND, BWX, TIP, VNQ, VTI, VWO, HYXU
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Moderate US Growth Prevails At Dawn Of Trump Era
Friday, January 20, 2017 8:06 AM EDT
As the nation awaits the inauguration of a new President, let’s briefly summarize the key points in the US macro profile as it currently stands.
In this article: SPX
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10-Year Treasury Inflation Forecast Reaches 2.0%
Thursday, January 19, 2017 7:54 AM EDT
The Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast via 10-year yields touched 2.0% yesterday for the first time in more than two years as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen gave an upbeat assessment of the US economic outlook.
In this article: FVX
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A New Study Quantifies The Impact Of Time Horizon On Risk
Wednesday, January 18, 2017 7:30 AM EDT
Can you distinguish alpha from beta? Measure an investment portfolio against a relevant benchmark and, voila, all is clear. But analyzing risk and return based on time horizon is highly challenging.
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Wealth Creation Is Another Name For Poverty Reduction
Tuesday, January 17, 2017 7:06 AM EDT
The main source of poverty eradication is employment, and offering more and better jobs on a broad scale is everywhere and always a function of an economy that’s on the rise.
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Commodities Top The Weekly Performance List
Monday, January 16, 2017 6:54 AM EDT
Commodities led the way higher last week among the major assets classes, based on a set of exchange-traded products. Close behind: emerging-market stocks, the number-two total-return performer for the five trading days through Jan. 13.
In this article: DJP, VNQ, VWO, PICB
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Auto Sales Drive US Retail Spending Higher In December
Friday, January 13, 2017 11:19 AM EDT
Retail consumption in the final month of 2016 increased by 0.6%, led by higher spending on motor vehicles.
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A Caveat On Backtesting Caveats
Friday, January 13, 2017 8:36 AM EDT
It’s true that backtesting if used wisely, can be a powerful tool for sensibly managing expectations with regards to return and risk.
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Energy-Sector Momentum Continues To Lead US Stocks Higher
Thursday, January 12, 2017 7:28 AM EDT
Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE​) is up nearly 40% over the past year, roughly double the gain for the US stock market overall. A key factor driving XLE’s rally is the rise in crude oil prices.
In this article: SPY, XLE, XLF, XLP, XLV
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Wondering About Stronger Growth Due To Trump
Wednesday, January 11, 2017 8:13 AM EDT
The question is whether the generally upbeat expectations about the macro outlook are driven by sound economic logic vs. politically driven hype.
In this article: SPX
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Fed’s Labor Market Index Reflects Slower Job Growth
Tuesday, January 10, 2017 7:27 AM EDT
LMCI, a multi-factor measure of employment activity, fell to -0.3 last month, the lowest reading since May’s -3.3.
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Widespread Gains Lift Most Markets In 2017’s First Week
Monday, January 9, 2017 7:44 AM EDT
The new year started with a bang with most of the major asset classes posting gains in 2017’s first week of trading, based on a set of ETF proxies. Leading the way higher: foreign real estate investment trusts/real estate.
In this article: PICB, VNQI, VWO, JNK, VEA, VTI, BND, DJP
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Do Long-Short Equity Mutual Funds Pass The Smell Test?
Friday, January 6, 2017 7:59 PM EDT
The first thing to know about long-short strategies is that results vary… a lot. They’re also pricey, with expense ratios approaching 3% – nosebleed territory compared with what’s available for plain-vanilla indexing.
In this article: BPLEX, RMBFX, SAOAX Also: SPY
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The Slow Fade For US Job Growth Continues
Friday, January 6, 2017 4:47 PM EDT
The softer increase of jobs in the NFP was conspicuous in the year-over-year trend, reaffirming what’s been clear for some time: the labor market’s well past its peak for this point in the cycle as job creation continues to shift into lower gear.
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A New Year Brings New Recession Forecasts
Thursday, January 5, 2017 8:01 AM EDT
The economic outlook is always uncertain, but one thing that doesn’t change is the constant stream of recession forecasts.
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