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Ironman

Blogger at Political Calculations
Contributor's Links: Political Calculations
Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more
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Decelerating Growth Trend For Median New Home Sale Prices
Tuesday, June 26, 2018 5:03 AM EDT
The growth of median new home sale prices in the United States has decelerated somewhat in the first months of 2018, repeating a pattern that we last back in early 2017.
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The S&P 500 And The Tariff Dog That Didn't Bark
Monday, June 25, 2018 4:20 AM EDT
For all the news headlines about trade wars and tit-for-tat retaliatory tariffs, none of that trade-related news seems to be doing much to move the needle of the stock market.
In this article: SPX
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Soup And Oil
Thursday, June 21, 2018 5:39 AM EDT
One of the neater things that comes from researching the historic prices of everyday goods is the insights that you can extract from the data, where sometimes, you discover that you can divide a nation's economic history into distinct eras.
In this article: CPB, OIL
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"Meh": The Market's Response To The "Most Important Week Of 2018"
Monday, June 18, 2018 5:56 AM EDT
A new round of tariffs being imposed by the U.S. and China on goods exported by each to the other on Friday didn't contribute much more than a trivial level of noise to the market on the last day of the second full week of June 2018.
In this article: SPX
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Fed Raises Rates, Recession Risk To Rise In Response
Thursday, June 14, 2018 4:55 AM EDT
The risk of a national recession beginning in the United States anytime in the next year, from 13 June 2018 through 13 June 2019, has slightly increased by 0.2% over the last six weeks, where the odds now stand at 0.8%.
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Either GE Or Its Dividend, And Possibly Both, Are Set To Shrink
Tuesday, June 12, 2018 5:33 AM EDT
GE's market capitalization of $121 billion is consistent with investors still anticipating a 20-25% dividend cut in the future.
In this article: GE
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Alternative Futures For The S&P 500 In Week 1 Of June 2018
Monday, June 11, 2018 4:37 AM EDT
The S&P 500 closed up at 2,779.03 to close the week ending on Friday, 8 June 2018.
In this article: SPX
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Trade War Tariffs Hurting U.S., China
Thursday, June 7, 2018 6:57 AM EDT
The United States and China are the world's two largest trading partners.
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Dividends By The Numbers For May 2018
Tuesday, June 5, 2018 6:40 AM EDT
For dividends in the U.S. stock market, May 2018 fell pretty much in the middle of every other May during the previous five years.
In this article: APO, MCC, OZM, TCP, CG
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The S&P 500 In Week 5 Of May 2018
Monday, June 4, 2018 5:20 AM EDT
Although it was shortened by the Memorial Day holiday, the fifth and final week of May 2018 marked a potential shift in focus for the S&P 500.
In this article: SPX
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April 2018 Median Household Income
Friday, June 1, 2018 4:00 AM EDT
Median household income in the U.S. increased to $61,483 in April 2018, a 0.4% increase over the firm's previous month's estimate of $61,227.
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A Slow Week For The S&P 500 In Week 4 Of May 2018
Tuesday, May 29, 2018 5:06 AM EDT
As expected, stock prices gapped up to start the fourth week of May 2018 thanks to a deal between the U.S. and China to not impose new tariffs on each other's goods, but beyond that move, didn't do very much else during the rest of the week.
In this article: SPX
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GE Deflocks From The S&P 500
Thursday, May 24, 2018 3:14 PM EDT
After finally catching back up to the S&P 500, investors collectively decided that GE didn't belong anywhere near it. Something happened on May 23 to provoke this kind of negative reaction from GE's shareholders and stock market investors.
In this article: GE
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GE And The S&P 500 Finally Converge
Wednesday, May 23, 2018 8:57 AM EDT
It would appear that GE has returned to the S&P 500 flock, where the trajectories of the two have converged once more. At least as measured by their percentage change since the 26 January 2018 peak for the S&P 500.
In this article: SPX, GE
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U.S.-China Trade Negotiations And The S&P 500
Monday, May 21, 2018 5:47 AM EDT
If investors have really been concerned about the threat of a potential trade war between the U.S. and China, the S&P 500 will very likely let us know how concerned they've been about it this week.
In this article: SPX
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Forecast: Spring 2018 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
Friday, May 18, 2018 5:02 AM EDT
Q1 2018 estimate (93% real) up 7.2% from year-end 2017, as EPS setting record; 2018 estimate up 7.7%, 2019 up 8.8%. Operating margin record high at 11.05%, 20-year average is 8.08%, as retail pulls it down.
In this article: SPX
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