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Ironman

Blogger at Political Calculations
Contributor's Links: Political Calculations
Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more
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S&P 500 Rises On Rising Probability Of 2020-Q1 Rate Cut
Monday, October 7, 2019 3:20 AM EDT
Two weeks ago, the S&P 500 fell because investors believed the prospect of the Fed cutting rates in the first quarter of 2020 had been taken off the table as the chances the Fed would cut rates during the fourth quarter became an even money bet.
In this article: SPX
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Dividends By The Numbers For September 2019 And 2019-Q3
Thursday, October 3, 2019 10:06 AM EDT
September 2019 was the worst month for dividend increases since September 2011.
In this article: CRT, MSB, MTR, SBR, PRT, PVL, NAT, SDR
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Trends For Existing Home Sales In Top 5 States
Wednesday, October 2, 2019 4:56 AM EDT
California, Florida, Texas, New York, and New Jersey are the five biggest markets for residential real estate in the United States as measured by the aggregate value of existing home sales.
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Median Household Income In August 2019
Tuesday, October 1, 2019 4:10 AM EDT
August 2019 will see the income earned by the typical American household during the month rise to be within several hundred dollars of $65,339.
Read
Shifting Probabilities For Future Rate Cuts Drive The S&P 500
Monday, September 30, 2019 4:10 AM EDT
The current market environment is ripe for stock prices to experience a lot of potential volatility. If you know which way it's going to go, more power to you.
In this article: SPX
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U.S. New Home Sale Prices Rebound
Thursday, September 26, 2019 9:07 PM EDT
New home prices rebounded in August 2019 according to the latest report from the U.S. Census Bureau on new residential sales.
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The Lévy Stable Distribution Of Stock Prices
Tuesday, September 24, 2019 4:10 AM EDT
There are other kinds of stable distributions that also have a central tendency of for variation in data to appear near the mean that do a better job of describing the variation in stock prices.
In this article: SPX
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Suppressed Fireworks For The S&P 500
Monday, September 23, 2019 4:12 AM EDT
The S&P 500 didn't implode during the third week of September 2019, as the results of the drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia's oil fields proved to be less disruptive to global oil supplies than initially feared.
In this article: SPX
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1 In 9 Chance Of U.S. Recession Starting Before October 2020
Thursday, September 19, 2019 4:21 AM EDT
As expected, the Federal Reserve acted to cut short interest rates in the United States on 18 September 2019, reducing its target range for the Federal Funds Rate from 2.00%-2.25% down to 1.75%-2.00%.
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The Anatomy Of A Spike In Chinese Hog Prices
Wednesday, September 18, 2019 4:48 AM EDT
The U.S. hog prices are for "national base 51-52% lean" barrows and gilts, while the Chinese prices are simply given in yuan per kilogram.
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Existing Home Sales, With Western Region Lagging The Most
Tuesday, September 17, 2019 5:11 AM EDT
Nationally, the total valuation of aggregate existing home sales have continued to dip in June 2019 from April 2019's level. All but the U.S. Census Bureau's Northeast region has seen dips from recent peaks.
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An All Too Brief, Blissfully Boring Week For The S&P 500
Monday, September 16, 2019 7:02 AM EDT
After all the fireworks of volatility over the last several weeks, the second week of trading in September 2019 saw precious little for the S&P 500, which closed up for the entire week by less than 1% from the previous week's close.
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The Distribution Of Income In The U.S For 2018
Friday, September 13, 2019 5:16 AM EDT
The U.S. Census Bureau has reported its income distribution data for the United States in 2018.
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The Futures For S&P 500 Quarterly Dividends Per Share Through 2020
Wednesday, September 11, 2019 4:53 AM EDT
We can now put together the picture for the S&P 500's future quarterly dividends per share through the end of 2020.
In this article: SPX
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Nominal Trade Losses From Tariff War Exceeds Great Recession
Tuesday, September 10, 2019 4:22 AM EDT
In July 2019, the gap between the pre-trade war trend and the trailing twelve month average of the value of goods exchanged between the U.S. and China expanded to $10.4 billion.
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Five Lévy Flights And Counting For The S&P 500 In 2019
Monday, September 9, 2019 5:10 AM EDT
The S&P 500 completed its fifth Lévy flight of the year on Friday, 6 September 2019, as investors completed shifting the time horizon of their future-linked attention from 2019-Q4 outward to 2020-Q1.
In this article: SPX
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