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FX Daily: CNY Depreciation Risk Adds To Bullish Dollar Tone
As if high US inflation and strong activity data, geopolitical risks and a looming ECB rate cut were not enough to drive the dollar stronger, the dollar could now be buoyed by Chinese authorities allowing a weaker renminbi.
The Commodities Feed: Wait-And-See Mode
Oil Markets are in wait-and-see mode following developments in the Middle East over the weekend. Clearly where oil prices go next will largely depend on Israel’s response to Iran’s attack.
Rates Spark: Rates See Near-Term Geopolitical Risks Averted
U.S. data remains the main driving force for rates even as geopolitics have reentered the fray.
US Household Spending Holds Firm
Remarkably strong retail sales numbers for March contradict somewhat weaker survey and credit card spending evidence.
Decent Eurozone Production Figures Are No Break From A Weak Trend
Eurozone industrial production increased by 0.8% in February after a sharp drop the previous month.
The Commodities Feed: Uncertainty And Risks Build In The Middle East
Oil price action this morning is muted despite Iran’s attack on Israel. The market had already priced in some form of attack, while limited damage and no loss of life means the potential for a more measured response from Israel.
Key Events In Developed Markets And EMEA For The Week Of April 12
Retail sales and production data are next week’s focus in the US after unexpectedly strong inflation data pushed back the anticipated start date of the Fed easing cycle.
UK Economy Starts To Rebound As Outlook Brightens
The UK economy grew for the second consecutive month in February, and we think this heralds a gradual improvement in the growth outlook for the remainder of this year.
FX Daily: From Fed Dependence To Fed Divergence
The dollar momentum is consolidating after the ECB and Bank of Canada have signaled a desire to diverge from the Fed.
Asia Morning Bites For Friday, April 12
The Monetary Authority of Singapore maintains settings with the Bank of Korea also tipped to pause. China trade is out later today.
The Commodities Feed: Gas Rallies On Supply Risks
European natural gas prices surged higher yesterday on the back of renewed supply risks after a Russian attack on Ukrainian natural gas infrastructure.
Rates Spark: Rates Markets Unmoved By Lagarde
For the first time this cycle the ECB has referenced the possibility of a rate cut in their press statement, paving the way for a rate cut in June.
Warning Signs For Europe’s North
We seem to be seeing a two-speed Europe emerging.
Asia Week Ahead: China Data Deluge And Japan’s Inflation Report
Key data releases from China are out next week alongside Japan’s latest inflation reading.
FX Daily: Dollar Bulls Take Control
The 0.4% MoM print for the March core CPI reading has wiped out expectations of a June rate cut.
Asia Morning Bites For Thursday, April 11
Asia markets are likely in for a rough start on Thursday in reaction to expectations for a Fed rate cut to be pushed back. In terms of data, China reports both CPI and PPI inflation while the Philippines releases their latest trade figures.
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