T.J. Hayes Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Founder, HedgeFundTips.com
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T.J. Hayes is Founder, Chairman and Managing Member of Great Hill Capital, LLC (a long/short equity manager based in New York City).  He started Hedge Fund Tips as a platform to share actionable insights, tips and research for investors/traders to ... more

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“Should’ve Been Me” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
In this week’s AAII Sentiment Survey result, bullish percent ticked down to 18.2% this week from 19.4% last week.
“Take Your Medicine” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
They raised 75bps in November 1994. The S&P bottomed a month later.
The “TGIF” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
About a third of U.S. inflation is a result of new and used cars, all due to the shortage of semiconductors.
“Chip Shot” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
Chips are the key to the economy/inflation moving forward.  They are also the key to one of our major new positions in an auto-supplier
The Deflating “Inflation Narrative” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
Managers have the highest cash balances since 9/11 in 2001 and are the Most Underweight stocks since May 2020
The “Mystery Liquidator Revealed” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
In this week’s AAII Sentiment Survey result, Bullish Percent ticked up a hair to 26% this week from 24.3% last week. Bearish Percent rose to 50.4% from 49%.
The “Forced Seller” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
The selling we are seeing in recent days is not orderly or natural, it is forced selling from fund liquidations and margin calls. It will flush through the system and then we can find a bottom and start to recover.
“Threading The Needle” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
Two weeks ago AAII sentiment survey dropped to a 30 year low at 15.8% bullish. Last week it ticked up modestly to 16.4%.
“Heartache On The Dance Floor” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
So while dip buyers – trying to pick up stocks on the cheap – have not been rewarded so far this year, that may be about to change.
The “Magic Chart” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
We have now come to a point Where the market has priced in more rate hikes than are likely to occur.
Peak Everything Stock Market? (And Sentiment Results)
The theme of this week is “peak everything”. Peak inflation, peak yields, peak commodities, possibly peak margins, peak growth, peak cash, and most importantly peak pessimism.
The “Shake It Off” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
We may be close to a short term peak in yields – bottom in bonds
To Invert Or Not To Invert? That Is The Key Stock Market Question…
This temporary inversion was caused by an exogenous event – the Bank of Japan.
Avoid The Noid – Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
While everyone is screaming that a recession is coming, the two most important indicators have not confirmed their fears.
“Home Sweet Home” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
Only 2 things that held them back: 1) Government Regulatory Crackdown 2) De-listing risk. BOTH were addressed overnight by Vice Premier Liu He when he said, “actively introduce policies that benefit markets.”
The “Horseshoes And Hand Grenades” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
In this week’s AAII Sentiment Survey result, bullish percent fell to 24%.
1 to 16 of 166 Posts
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