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Prepare For Second Half Slowdown, Mild 2019 Recession, Says ITR's Alan Beaulieu
Friday, March 9, 2018 6:58 PM EDT
Dr. Alan Beaulieu is emphasizing that we should expect to see the U.S. economy see a slowdown beginning in the second half of this year, and a mild recession developing in 2019.
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Enjoy The Final Ride, Because The Expansion Is Nearing An End
Friday, March 2, 2018 3:26 PM EDT
The current economic expansion has run 8 years and 9 months long. Another year or two and it could end up being the longest economic expansion on record.
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Bond Market Experiencing Biggest Technical Shift
Monday, February 12, 2018 3:29 PM EDT
The long end of the curve hasn’t gone up much yet, but there may be sharp adjustment higher in rates. This will likely leave us closer to a 3 percent 10-year bond yield sooner than many probably realize.
In this article: SPX
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Prepping For A Bond Bear
Thursday, February 8, 2018 2:00 PM EDT
We’re in the middle of a Federal Reserve rate raising cycle right now, and this may be setting the stage for bond market losses for many investors.
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Uncharted Territory
Friday, January 26, 2018 4:26 AM EDT
Fed policy seems to be out of sync with other central banks, and it’s at odds with fiscal stimulus implemented at what appears to be the end of the business cycle.
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Oil Outlook Strong But Massive US Production To Keep A Lid On Prices
Wednesday, January 24, 2018 5:01 AM EDT
With WTI crude oil now trading above $60 a barrel, some are predicting we’ll hit as high as $80 in 2018.
In this article: OIL, UCO, USO
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Market Now Entering Mania Phase, Says Strategist
Wednesday, January 10, 2018 5:32 AM EDT
We’ve witnessed the remarkable stock market performance in the last year and a half, with the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 not experiencing a 3 percent or greater pullback during this parabolic rally.
In this article: DBC, SPX
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Consensus Likely Too Conservative On US Economic Growth For 2018
Tuesday, January 9, 2018 4:40 AM EDT
The bull is likely to remain intact through 2018 — if not 2019 — based on the global growth outlook and leading indicators. Global economic growth is still healthy, with retail sales and trade data in emerging market economies also positive.
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Q1 Stock Market Outlook: We’re Gonna Need A Bigger Slide
Tuesday, January 2, 2018 12:37 PM EDT
If 2018 rings in a bear market, it could look something like the Kennedy Slide of 1962.
In this article: SPX
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2018 Will See Outperformance Shift Back To US
Thursday, December 21, 2017 5:52 PM EDT
Global growth is still in a synchronized upswing and confidence by both consumers and businesses is the strongest it has been in years. Are investors headed for a big surprise in 2018?
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Never Mind Tea Leaves, Here’s A Strong Signal From The Economic Dashboard
Tuesday, December 19, 2017 2:53 PM EDT
Monetary tightening will have greater effects, and the outsized asset gains of recent years will become more burden than boon.
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Bitcoin, Tulips, And Power Consumption
Monday, December 18, 2017 2:41 PM EDT
Is Bitcoin a modern-day tulip mania?
In this article: BITCOMP
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Yamada: Market Technicals Strong Though Record Margin Debt Spells Trouble
Thursday, December 14, 2017 7:40 PM EDT
There’s no denying that 2017 has been a good year for investors, with most major asset classes showing gains for the year.
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Former Soros Analyst Warns On Growing Risks
Thursday, December 7, 2017 5:32 PM EDT
Despite last Friday’s pullback, nearly all markets have been heading higher with no end in sight.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, SPX, GOOGL
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US Retail Companies Have A Massive Bill To Pay Come 2018
Thursday, November 30, 2017 10:44 AM EDT
Right now, retail stores are closing at a pace that we haven't seen since the 2008-2009 financial crisis. The problem is widespread, and likely to grow, possibly to crisis levels.
In this article: XRT
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The Global Domination Of Big Tech
Tuesday, November 21, 2017 2:24 PM EDT
The big four — Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google — have literally changed the face of the world economy, and are collectively responsible for creating a combined market capitalization equivalent to the GDP of India.
In this article: AAPL, AMZN, META, GOOGL
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