Self Proprietor, Ahan Analytics, LLC

Dr. Duru Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty-five years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

E Currency Markets Overreact After Getting Caught Offsides The Dollar
The rush to adjust to the Fed’s message acknowledging increasing inflationary pressures has the look of an overreaction even if directionally correct.
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E A Bottoming In The U.S. Dollar
DXY broke down below its 200DMA and then its 50DMA before retesting the lows of 2021. With a consolidation of the price action favoring an upward path of least resistance, I see signs of a bottoming in the U.S. dollar.
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E Push And Tug On The U.S. Dollar
When the U.S. dollar index crosses its 200-day moving average, it tends to launch into sustained moves. Forces pushing the dollar up are slowly overtaking forces tugging the dollar down.
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E The Case For The Canadian Dollar Remains Strong From Good Economic News
The Bank of Canada delivered good economic news in its Monetary Policy Report. Canada's better management of the coronavirus pandemic underlines the case for shorting USD/CAD.
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E The Stock Market Is A Different Kind Of Overbought With Breadth So Strong
The stock market cycles through overbought and oversold. Each point offers opportunities for counter-trend trades. Current overbought conditions coincide with underlying breadth so strong that the prospects for bearish trades look surprisingly poor.
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E Another Gold Record, Another Golden Buying Opportunity
The CME reported record contract volume on gold as the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) dropped 5.4%. Like the day of the last record in February, this pullback is a fresh opportunity to bet against the U.S. dollar as a store of value.
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Comments

Latest Comments
A Bottoming In The U.S. Dollar
1 month ago

The publishing process excluded some important reference links:

ECB monetary policy release: www.ecb.europa.eu/.../...210610~115f4c0246.en.html

My post on the confidence of the Fed in the economy: drduru.com/.../north-american-alliance-of-bullish-central-banks/

CNBC article on inflation running hot: www.cnbc.com/.../...f-hotter-inflation-report.html

My earlier bullish bias on the Canadian dollar: drduru.com/.../canadian-dollar-central-bank-optimism-gives-currency-fresh-boost/

A Bottoming In The U.S. Dollar
1 month ago

And thanks for the kudos.

Reviewing Market Signals As Warnings Increase
1 month ago

I think August being seasonally one of the most "dangerous" months of the year in terms of drawdowns is sufficient for a case of imminent downside risk.

In this article: SPX, VIX
Dollar Slide Extends
3 months ago

Any specific drivers for this surge of dollar weakness? Just last month, the US dollar index was breaking out above its 200DMA and looked ready to extend a comeback. Now, it's below its 50DMA, not just the 200DMA!

In this article: F, GM, FXE, CYB, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY
The Stock Market Is A Different Kind Of Overbought With Breadth So Strong
8 months ago

Definitely. And to this point, buying oversold has a much better risk/reward than selling overbought because of the longer-term uptrend in the stock market. It took me a while, but I stopped automatically selling overbought markets and instead waited for additional signals....like dropping out of overbought conditions.

In this article: SPY
A Trade To Hedge A Top In Facebook With A Rebounding Google
11 months ago

This quote from AdExchanger was VERY telling about FB's earnings conference call:

"Although Facebook reported its Q2 earnings the day after CEO Mark Zuckerberg donned a suit to testify along with his big tech CEO bros in front of a congressional antitrust subcommittee – incredibly, not a single investor asked Zuckerberg about his appearance.

And the advertiser boycott barely got a mention, although Wehner pointed out that the Top 100 advertisers make up just 16% of Facebook’s ad revenue and falling.

According to Zuck: “Small businesses are the biggest part of our business, not the largest businesses. … We want to serve everyone, but if you as investors or analysts or anyone is thinking about our business, the really accurate way to think about what we do is we are in the business of serving small businesses.”

In that vein, Facebook announced a milestone on the call: It now has more than 9 million active advertisers across its services."

www.adexchanger.com/.../facebook-grows-revenue-arpu-and-users-in-q2-despite-the-pandemic/

In this article: L, FB, GOOG, GOOGL
A Trade To Hedge A Top In Facebook With A Rebounding Google
11 months ago

It seems small and medium-sized business matter most to FB, and the boycotters collectively don't matter much. And definitely if users stick by Facebook, advertisers have to return at some point.

In this article: L, FB, GOOG, GOOGL
A Trade To Hedge A Top In Facebook With A Rebounding Google
1 year ago

True teflon Don.

In this article: L, FB, GOOG, GOOGL
A Trade To Hedge A Top In Facebook With A Rebounding Google
1 year ago

That's right. The users are at the center of everything. It's next to impossible for advertisers to ignore a 2 billion, highly targetable audience for long.

In this article: L, FB, GOOG, GOOGL
A Trade To Hedge A Top In Facebook With A Rebounding Google
1 year ago

The potential for bigger % move in Facebook is exactly why I bought a straight put on FB vs the call spread on Google. A spread on FB, as I learned with the last trade, significantly caps potential gains in the trade.

In this article: L, FB, GOOG, GOOGL
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AAL American Airlines Group Inc
AAPL Apple Inc.
AET Aetna Inc.
AKS AK Steel Holding Corp
AMZN Amazon.com Inc.
AYI Acuity Brands Inc. (Holding Company)
BBRY (now BB) BlackBerry Ltd
BBY Best Buy Co.
BP BP p.l.c.
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
CBT Cabot Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc.
DX Dynex Capital Inc.
EWC iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund
FAST Fastenal Company
FB Facebook Inc
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Google)
GULF WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Fund
HD Home Depot Inc.
HDGE AdvisorShares Active Bear ETF
NFLX Netflix Inc.
OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc.
PCLN Priceline (Now BKNG)
RP RealPage Inc.
SKUL Skullcandy Inc.
TIP iShares Lehman TIPS Bond Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
VXX iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FuturesTM ETN
X United States Steel Corporation
ZNGA Zynga Inc.
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Sr. Director Analytics
Dictionary.com
January 2019 - Present (2 years 7 months)

Manage teams providing analytics, insights, and data engineering support to the business.

Sole Proprietor
Ahan Analytics
May 2009 - Present (12 years 5 months)

Sustainable, data-driven approaches for improving business performance. Ahan Analytics, LLC was founded by N. Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. to find the "aha" in your data that will improve business performance. He enables decision-making in the face of complexity and uncertainty so that your business can sustain its improvement.

Director of Data Science and Engineering
Verizon Media (formerly Yahoo)
May 2010 - December 2018 (8 years 9 months)

Served in numerous analytics and data science roles from 1) supporting reporting for technology product platforms and executive reporting to 2) business analytics and analytics research for product teams, to 3) data science, analytics, and data engineering for Marketing.

Education

University of California, Silicon Valley Extension
2013 / 2013
Introduction to Data Mining and Machine Learning (In R), A
Stanford University
PhD
1992 / 1999
Engineering-Economic Systems
Stanford University
M.S.
1991 / 1992
Engineering-Economic Systems
Stanford University
Honors
1990 / 1991
Values in Technology Science and Society
Stanford University
B.S.
1987 / 1991
Mechanical Engineering

Publications

One-Twenty Two
Dr. Duru
Dr. Duru

For students and fans of financial markets.