David Moenning | TalkMarkets | Page 25
Chief Investment Officer at Heritage Capital Research
Contributor's Links: Heritage Capital Research
Portfolio management consultant with more than 30 years of investment management experience. Focuses on a risk-managed approach to capital markets via modernized portfolio design and dynamic adaptation to ever-changing macro environments. Founder of Heritage Capital Research, an independent ...more

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Quick Take: Sealing The Deal
The Labor Department reported that Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 235,000 in February, which was above the consensus estimate of 190,000. The Unemployment Rate came in at 4.7%, which was down from January’s rate of 4.8% and in line with expectations.
Happy Birthday!
The current secular bull market in stocks turns 8 years old today.
Today’s Focus: Yellen, Tepper, And Jobs
Let’s remember that the FOMC is meeting next week. And while the market now expects Yellen & Co. to raise the Fed Funds rate target by 0.25%, traders don’t tend to make big commitments in front of important events.
If It’s Obvious, It’s Obviously…
Stocks are discounting better days ahead for the economy and earnings, less regulation, a "fantastic" stimulus package, and of course, "massive" tax reform.
Are 9 Warnings Enough?
Based on early indications, it appears that the bears may be trying to get something going to the downside here. Everybody knows that the current trend is stretched to the upside and that the market is overbought.
Quick Take: What The “Cacophony” Of Fedspeak Tells Us?
With what Bloomberg called a “cacophony” of Fedspeak this week and both Yellen and Fischer stepping to the microphone today, the issue of when the FOMC will hike rates again is still center ring.
Five Reasons
Why are stocks melting up again? The way I see it, there are five reasons why stocks surged again on Wednesday.
Quick Take: Confidence Abounds
The President’s conciliatory tone, as well as the mention of $1 trillion in stimulus spending during in last night's speech, has traders breathing a sigh of relief today.
Exploring The Bear Case
Our heroes in horns contend that stocks are discounting better days ahead for the economy, and in turn, earnings, less regulation, a "phenomenal" tax plan, and an economic stimulus package sprinkled in for good measure.
Let’s Be Clear, The Table Is Set…
The bulls are in charge but the market is “set up” for a pullback in the near-term. While not negative, our external factors models are waving warning flags.
Quick Take: Will The Dip Buyers Pause?
It is worth noting that dip buyers have been extremely active each and every time the stock market has declined – even on an intraday basis.
Worried About The Bull? Here’s Something To Think About…
The current joyride to the upside in the stock market is apparently one for the ages. There are all kinds of indicators that suggest the current bull run, is likely to continue.
What’s Your Trump Contingency Plan?
My big point was that even if you had a functioning crystal ball and were able to get the “call” on the expected big, bad event correct, could you also get the market reaction right? The answer is, Hmmm… maybe not!
The Trend Is Your Friend, But…
As the saying goes, the trend is your friend. However, we do not believe this is a low-risk environment given that monetary and inflation models are heading in the wrong direction, stocks are overbought, and sentiment has reached extreme levels.
Quick Take: Traders Take A Step Back
Stocks are overbought and sentiment has reached an extreme, which creates a condition that tends to lead to a garden-variety pullback.
The Real Inflation Problem - Thursday, Feb. 16
So, is the inflation situation surprising? Absolutely not. Remember, this has been the goal of central bankers around the world for many moons now.
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