Bill Conerly | TalkMarkets | Page 16
Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!
Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ...more

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Trump's Tariffs, Supply Chains And Other Risks
The tariff war begun by President Trump has caused many executives to think about their supply chains. That’s a good start, but selecting suppliers is more than working through tariffs.
The Yield Curve As Recession Predictor: Should We Worry Today?
The yield curve has proved to be a valuable indicator of future recessions. Some economists are getting nervous now, as signals are flashing yellow—not quite red, but certainly not green. However, the yield curve is only indicative of a recession.
States Prepare For The Next Recession: How Liberal States Act Conservatively
The states best prepared for recession have large rainy day funds relative to their expenditures.
Business Planning With Austrian Economics: Statistics In Corporate Decision-Making
Austrian-School economists distrust empirical economics, a skepticism that is partially warranted, partially unwarranted. The Austrian insights are helpful for business planning, even though I don’t endorse them wholeheartedly.
Contingency Plans For Sideways Changes
Contingency plans are vital in an uncertain economy. That includes forward plans, defensive plans, and these sideways plans which focus on changing products, production techniques and sales channels—a change that is not about growing or shrinking.
Economic Forecast 2018-2019: Demand Is Strong But Supply Is Weak
Most economic forecasting models are demand-based: they focus on spending. The supply potential of the economy is frequently ignored, and that’s frequently the correct assumption. But not now.
Now Is Not The Time For M&A
Sales are up, profits are up, cash is up. Times are so good that companies are tempted to acquire other companies. And this is the wrong time for that.
Why Borrowers Need Securitization
When you borrow money to buy a home, your loan is almost always “securitized.” Pope Francis recently railed against complex financial securities.
Business Planning With Austrian Economics: What Line Of Business Are You In?
Austrian-school economists were frustrated when other economists assumed a given product or market. Nothing is given.
Signs Of The Next Recession
Economists did not predict the 2008-09 recession, nor the recessions of 2001, 1990, or 1982. However, we did anticipate the 1980 recession—which we thought would be mild. Oops.
Housing Is Not In Short Supply
Home prices across the country have increased by 6.3 percent in the past year, compared to a long-run average of 4.6 percent. Rents increased by a lesser 3.6 percent, but compare that to overall inflation of just 2.4 percent.
The Scariest Chart For Business In The Coming Decade: Workers Not Available
The biggest factor behind slow growth of the working-age population is the aging of baby boomers. Keep in mind that the baby boom continued for many years, peaking in 1957 and continuing until about 1964.
Why The Fed Is Tightening With Low Inflation -- And The Danger Of It
The Fed has announced their expectations for tightening over the next three years, including three or four rate hikes this year including the March increase.
More Stuff, Lower Prices, So GDP Is Down: Productivity Is Better Than We Measure
Slow productivity growth is part of the subpar growth rates the United States has shown in recent years. But measurement problems are fooling us: People are better off than the statistics indicate.
New Homes Sales 'Normalized' Rather Than Dropped
New home sales dropped last month, but I think “normalized” would be a better description. The recent spike doesn’t mean that underlying drivers of housing demand were stronger last year.
Is Inflation Accelerating? Time For Worry, Not Panic
Inflation is accelerating, or not, depending on how you look at the data.
241 to 256 of 425 Posts
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