Arthur Donner | TalkMarkets | Page 18
Economic Consultant
Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ...more

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Housing Construction In Canada Is Slowing
...and it will become a drag on the economy.
The Projected Path For The Fed’s Interest Rate
While the Fed’s mandate emphasizes both price stability and the job market, markets are most worried about the inflation risk. When it comes to assessing inflation developments, the Fed relies on the core PCE price index.
Trump’s Tariff War With China May Have Some Unexpected Consequences
The American economy is roaring, the stock market has, up till recently, been very strong, and thus far protectionism has had only a negligible impact on growth.
Emerging Market Currencies Have Weakened Because Of Dangerously High External Debts And A Strong US Dollar
Emerging market currencies have not had it easy this year, particularly since the US dollar has been so strong.
Although Monetary Policy Is Still Quite Easy, Central Banks Are Tightening
The two largest central banks are easing back on their monetary stimulus which was so necessary to battle the multiple crises which emerged after the 2008 financial meltdown.
The Global Outlook Dims, The US-China Trade Rift Makes Matters Worse
World economic growth has been a bit softer this year than originally expected, even though the US economy has performed very strongly.
American Consumers Are Optimistic, But Are Also Experiencing Some Sticker Shock
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Survey for August showed a decline in the index to 96.2 from 97.9 in July.
Revised Estimates For U.S. Growth In Q2 Was Even Stronger
There were only small differences in the second estimate for Q2 GDP compared to the first estimate. Real GDP advanced at a 4.2% annual rate in Q2 compared with a 4.1% pace in the first estimate.
U.S. Repatriated Earnings Have Been A Boon To The Stock Market
U.S. multinational corporations had up to recently accumulated as much as $2.6 trillion of overseas profits.
U.S. Corporate Profits Soared This Year, The Tax Cuts Are Helping
U.S. corporate profits soared 16.1% year over year in the second quarter, boosted by the Republican tax cuts and 4.1% real annual rate of growth.
U.S. Student Indebtedness Will Affect Future Wealth Accumulation
While the global financial crisis may be fading from memory, the roots of the next one might already be taking hold.
Emerging Market Countries Have Sharply Increased Their Corporate Indebtedness
Developing economies are looking extremely shaky on the debt front.
Canada’s Household Credit Growth Is Slowing, A Sign That The Economy Is Slowing
Rising interest rates and tough new mortgage rules have finally achieved for Canadians what many economists have desired -- a halt to relentlessly rising personal debt levels.
The Brexit Deadline Approaches, And The UK Economy Is Already Slowing
The central bank’s staff reported that businesses were tightening cost controls and holding off on investment ahead of Britain’s March 29, 2019 deadline for withdrawal from the EU.
Canada’s Economy Rebounded A Bit In The Second Quarter
Canada’s real GDP advanced at a 2.9% annual rate in the second quarter of 2018, virtually double the much weaker expansion in the first quarter.
Will Trump’s Policies Trigger A Shrinking International Role For The U.S. Dollar?
There is little doubt that as the largest economy in the world, the U.S. has been slowly losing its edge to other important countries, particularly China and the Euro Zone block.
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