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Angry Bear

Slightly Left of Center Economics Blog
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Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy. Emeritus Contributors to Angry Bear include: Bill McBride, now at his own Calculated Risk, Kash Mansori who now writes sometimes at The Street Light ...more
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U.S. Federal Intergenerational Debt: Rendered And Layered
Wednesday, May 14, 2014 4:33 AM EDT
It is a common trope among Austerians that the U.S. is passing on unsustainable debt to our children and grandchildren. And certainly there are some scary numbers out there, for example “$17.4 trillion!!” A very real number.
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The Sticky Wages Of Sin
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 7:12 PM EDT
Low wages were once viewed as a prod to work effort; shirking as workers' misguided response to the threat of unemployment. Now high wages are used as an incentive for work effort and unemployment as an employers’ disciplinary device to discourage shirking. One element has remained constant, though.
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Michael Hiltzik: “‘If I Had To Guess, This Case Won’t Go Well For Retirees,’ [U. Mich. Law Prof. Nicholas] Bagley Writes.”
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 2:05 PM EDT
The article, which explains the situation and includes the quote in the title of this post, links to Bagley’s post about the Supreme Court case at issue on his Bagley’s blog. The blog is called The Incidental Economist, and is devoted to discussion of healthcare reform.
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Japan’s Experience Of The Fisher Effect
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 11:23 AM EDT
When Japan’s call rate (the nominal rate from their central bank) went to the zero lower bound, Japan developed deflation. It was not a deflation where the bottom fell out and kept falling. It was a deflation somewhat stable below 0%.
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Fed Treasury Holdings, ‘Real Debt’ And ‘Real Debt Service’
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 7:28 AM EDT
It is not difficult to determine a dollar figure for Total U.S. Public Debt. In fact you have to round UP from the Treasury’s Debt to the Penny and Who Holds it web application which tracks that number daily. As of end of business Thursday that total was $17,472,051,696,926.14.
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Is Sweden Experiencing The Fisher Effect?
Tuesday, May 13, 2014 6:01 AM EDT
I want to analyze this situation in Sweden using the Fisher Effect, which would have us look at real output growth and projected natural inflation in order to give us the projected central bank rate .
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The Lump-of-Capital Fallacy
Friday, May 9, 2014 6:58 PM EDT
Dean Baker gives me the courage, in his recent post on Pikkety, to reiterate a statement I’ve made some few times in the past: Economists have no coherent or consistent idea of what they’re talking about when they use the word “capital.”
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Krugman: If You Don’t Like The Mandate, Why Not Support Single Payer?
Friday, May 9, 2014 4:36 PM EDT
I’ve said now here too many times to count, but most recently five days ago, that the highlighting of Obamacare horror stories–real or fabricated–is really an argument for single payer.
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Americans Raid 401(k)s
Thursday, May 8, 2014 11:57 AM EDT
It’s been creepy to see economists and the financial media cheering the re-levering by American households as a sign that they economy is on the mend and consumers are regaining their will to shop, but ordinary Americans took huge balance sheet hits in the crisis.
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Wasting One Life Away
Thursday, May 1, 2014 5:02 PM EDT
One in 31 Adults are under the control of the correctional system (prison, parole, probation) according to a March 2009 Pew Center Report of the same title. One in every 100 adults are imprisoned in jail, state prisons, or federal facilities.
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Is Inflation Decaying?
Thursday, May 1, 2014 12:41 PM EDT
According to the FED, inflation pressures are key. We have to know how strong the inflation "inertia" is.
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It’s The Political Economy, Stupid!
Wednesday, April 30, 2014 1:28 PM EDT
After Paul Krugman bemoaned the terrible policy choices of the last two years, he writes, “I’m still trying to make sense of this global intellectual failure.” It’s as if the core problem is that political leaders didn’t learn their macroeconomics well enough.
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Real State Per Capita Income
Wednesday, April 30, 2014 10:41 AM EDT
The Bureau of Economic Analysis has been working on creating state and metro cost of living indices for several years and they have just published a new set of them that can be used to create real per capita income comparisons between states.
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Recovery In Europe?
Tuesday, April 29, 2014 9:06 AM EDT
Greece has returned to the bond market, issuing $4.2 billion of five-year bonds at an interest rate of 4.95%. The government’s ability to borrow again is a “reward” for posting a surplus on its primary budget (although the accounting that produced the surplus has been questioned).
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Is The Fisher Effect Stable Or Unstable?
Tuesday, April 29, 2014 6:25 AM EDT
Low inflation in an atmosphere of low nominal interest rates brings up the issue of the Fisher Effect. Here is the long run Fisher equation for a “steady-state” nominal interest rate…
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The Dangerous Logic Of The Steady-State Fisher Effect
Friday, April 25, 2014 8:25 AM EDT
Noah Smith brought up the issue of the long run Fisher effect. Yet, he wants to see micro-foundation models. “Specifically, what I’d be interested to see is for someone to find some micro-foundations for the Neo-Fisherite result that don’t depend on fiscal policy reaction functions.”
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