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Slightly Left of Center Economics Blog
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Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy. Emeritus Contributors to Angry Bear include: Bill McBride, now at his own Calculated Risk, Kash Mansori who now writes sometimes at The Street Light ...more

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Defining Effective Demand As Keynes Saw It
A commenter on our Angry Bear blog, Axt113, asked questions to understand what effective demand is. He/she like many think that effective demand is simply aggregate demand. But that is not true.
Test Of The Fisher Effect In Europe
As the ECB (European Central Bank) loosens monetary policy even more in the face of falling inflation, we will see a test of the Fisher Effect.
Barry Ritholtz… Why Are Rates So Low?… Look At Hong Kong
Maybe we could say that there is lots of liquidity out there. Maybe we could say that there are expectations of very low inflation, since we see little inflation hedging in low rates.
Consumption, Real Interest Rates, And Habit
Many macroeconomists use models of aggregate consumption based on utility maximization by a rational representative agent. These models imply that the expected rate of growth of consumption is a constant times the expected real interest rate.
Dow Jones Has Moved Into Zone Of Palpable Financial Instability
I have seen the top of the Dow Jones index as 16,800, but when the ECB loosened monetary policy to an extent never before seen last week, the Dow Jones lofted over 16,800. It is now hovering below 17,000, but there are concerns that it should not loft higher.
Tax Planning Or Tax Avoidance? One Simple Test
Over at Tax Research UK, Richard Murphy offers a simple test to distinguish between tax planning and tax avoidance. As he told a journalist, “That is easy. It’s getting legal opinion.”
We Need To Keep Our Eyes On China At The Moment…
I was seeing that the United States was reaching its own effective demand limit. The implication was that consumption of Chinese exports would hit an economic wall.
Using Macroeconomic Truths Undeniably
How people use economic terms mainly as a political stance comes in all levels of expertise and income levels.
Social Security: Cost, Solvency, Debt And TF Ratio
The following chart is radically simplified because I want to make a very simple set of points, ones that have little or nothing to do with the proper policy approach to Social Security or to the adequacy of the model that produces the specific numbers at hand.
Another Day, Another Bad Incentive Deal
A new copper tubing manufacturing facility is opening in one of the nation’s poorest counties. This is clearly a place where we should consider using investment incentives, but the sheer size of the subsidy relative to the investmen(known as “aid intensity”) makes this just another bad deal.
The Short Version–Piketty
The bulk of the ~1 % are much like the 99% and make their income mostly from wages. It is the 1% of the 1% who have excelled in making their money from investments and inheritances.
Labor Share Adjusts Up As Profit Rates Adjust Down
When an update to Labor share of national income is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, it does not make headlines. Yet, it gives insight. The BLS released today their revised Productivity and Costs report for 1st quarter 2014.
The Challenges Of Achieving Financial Stability
The end of the dot.com bubble in 2000 led to a debate over whether central banks should take financial stability into account when formulating policy, in addition to the usual indicators of economic stability such as inflation and unemployment.
Is That A Good Economic Development Deal? A Checklist
In my last post, I discussed one of the most important sets of questions regarding any proposed economic development subsidy: How much does it cost? Is that too much?
Awesome Opinion Today By Roberts In Bond V. United States!
I’ve written extensively here at AB about a two-time Supreme Court case called Bond v. United States, first three years ago when the case was heard the first time, then in the last few months as the case was heard there again.
Points Of Agreement With John Taylor
In a WSJ interview, John Taylor, who is a professor at Stanford University, sees that the nominal interest rate from the Federal Reserve should be 1.25% now, according to his own Taylor rule. He says the financial markets are working fine.
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