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Acting Man

Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum was the nom de plume of the main author of the acting-man blog, an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He was involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years, most recently writing economic and market analyses for independent research ...more
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17 to 32 of 758 Posts
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Rising Stock Market Volatility – Another Warning Sign
Thursday, August 15, 2019 10:45 AM EDT
Sometimes an increase in market volatility does not mean much – but when it happens at a time when the market is trading at extremely high valuations, it can be a major warning sign.
In this article: SPX
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Bitcoin – From Greed To Fear
Thursday, August 15, 2019 10:08 AM EDT
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have declined quite sharply in recent days.
In this article: BITCOMP
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Interest Rate Watch And Bond Market Curiosities
Thursday, August 15, 2019 5:55 AM EDT
In view of the sharp increase in stock market volatility, yields on government debt have continued to decline in a hurry.
In this article: IEF
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The Calm Before The Storm
Friday, July 19, 2019 7:37 AM EDT
The divergences between the different indexes at the very least represent a heads-up that another correction is likely to begin fairly soon.
In this article: NDX, SPX, DJI, NYA, FEZ, DJT
Read
Paul Tudor Jones Likes Gold
Thursday, June 13, 2019 1:45 AM EDT
According to last week’s CoT report, the net commercial hedger short position has grown to around 172,000 contracts. In a bull market, this position is likely to become much larger before it poses a problem.
In this article: GLD
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A Surprise Move In Gold
Friday, June 7, 2019 4:39 AM EDT
Over the past week, gold and gold stocks have been on a tear. It is probably fair to say that most market participants were surprised by this development.
In this article: GLD, HUI
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US Money Supply Growth And The Production Structure – Signs Of An Aging Boom
Friday, May 31, 2019 4:15 AM EDT
It has taken quite a long time already, but it appears as though slowing money supply growth is finally beginning to affect the real economy.
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In Gold We Trust 2019
Wednesday, May 29, 2019 12:00 AM EDT
Trust in once well-respected institutions is increasingly eroding.
In this article: GLD
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The Liquidity Drought Gets Worse
Friday, April 19, 2019 5:46 AM EDT
The continuing slowdown in money supply growth represents a palpable threat to the bubble in asset prices.
Read
Long Term Stock Market Sentiment Remains As Lopsided As Ever
Tuesday, April 16, 2019 4:25 PM EDT
A brief update on indicators that are of medium to long-term relevance to prospective stock market returns.
In this article: SPX
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A Trip Down Memory Lane – 1928-1929 Vs. 2018-2019
Friday, April 12, 2019 9:02 AM EDT
It has become abundantly clear by now that the late 2018 swoon was not yet the beginning of the end of the stock market bubble – at least not right away.
In this article: SPX, DJI
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The Gold Debate – Where Do Things Stand In The Gold Market?
Friday, March 1, 2019 4:10 AM EDT
Despite the fact that gold fundamentals are still not unequivocally bullish, there are signs that investors are increasingly receptive to the idea of buying some gold for insurance purposes.
In this article: GLD, SPX, HUI
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Circling The Drain
Friday, January 4, 2019 4:05 PM EDT
As long as the Fed keeps draining excess liquidity from the system, money supply growth rates are unlikely to recover. Expect elevated market volatility to persist over the medium term, with a downward bias.
In this article: SPX
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The Bear Market Hook
Wednesday, January 2, 2019 6:04 PM EDT
The stock market correction into late December was of approximately the same size as the mid 2015/early 2016 twin downturns, so this is not an idle question.
In this article: SPX, DJI
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Season’s Greetings
Monday, December 24, 2018 2:55 PM EDT
This year turned out to be quite an interesting and exciting year – in the Chinese curse sense, that is.
In this article: SPX
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The Stock Market On FOMC Day – Buy Or Sell The News?
Wednesday, December 19, 2018 8:38 AM EDT
The market is likely close to a short term low by now – at least in time. It is not necessarily close to a low in price, as that really depends on how much more fear is going to creep in over coming days and/or weeks.
In this article: NDX, SPX, VIX, DJI, NYA
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17 to 32 of 758 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 ... 48 >>>