Weekly Indicators Of GDP Growth

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The Lewis-Mertens-Stock/NY Fed measure for data through 5/24 is down to 1.88%, down from 2.79% on the week of Trump’s inauguration, down from peak of 3.07%, recording data before “Liberation Day”.

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Figure 1: Weekly Economic Index (blue), and Baumeister, Leiva-Leon, Sims Weekly Economic Conditions Index plus 2% (tan), both annualized %. Source: NY Fed via FRED, Baumeister et al.

Hence, there’s been a noticeable deceleration in growth as measured by the WEI, not so much the Baumeister et al. index.


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