Wall Street Is Worried About A Bubble – Here's How To Cash In

The Dow's above 33,500, the S&P 500 is above 4,100, and the Nasdaq is north of 13,800 (QQQ).

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No wonder I've been hearing the "B-word" so much lately.

Just about everyone is talking "bubble" – every once in a while, almost on schedule, the financial media fixates on valuations, like how the Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares that were a great buy at $128.50 are suddenly a ticking time bomb at $130.10.

I'll tell you up front: I'm not worried about a bubble yet.

That said, I don't think it's out of the question; we could certainly see a correction, and a snowball effect that could make it a tough one.

And with that said, I'm still not all that worried. You shouldn't be, either – once you realize what's actually happening and how easy it is to make money right now…

Wall Street Is Still Underestimating Retail Investors

For decades, the stock market was thought of as a rich man's game. And like they say, if it looks like a duck… As recently as 2017, the top 10% of the richest Americans controlled more than 84% of the total value of stocks, bonds, and other securities.

But the rise of online trading platforms and mobile, commission-free trading as well as the COVID-19 pandemic really kicked that trend into high gear. Millions of people lost their jobs, but tens of millions of people, suddenly stuck at home with little to do, with few outlets for excess cash, and – interestingly – no professional sports to bet on, started playing the markets.

More than that, a bunch of these new folks learned how to trade options, generating insane levels of volume and liquidity.

These investors were a big reason the market hit all-time highs in the middle of a deadly public health crisis that crippled the economy.

Were these folks inexperienced? Sure, that's probably fair. Were they aggressive? Definitely. Wall Street completely underestimated their ability to generate big volume, as we saw with GameStop Corp. (GME) back in January. A bunch of hedge funds learned a very expensive lesson then.

Pricey as that "tuition" bill was, I don't think Wall Street has fully grasped the fact that regular retail investors are now a force to be reckoned with; in fact, we're targeting what could be some of Wall Street's biggest shorts from the "other side," looking to profit from the "Super Squeeze" scenarios that have the same kind of DNA as the GameStop squeeze. 

Retail investors are here to stay, and I'd go so far as to say they'll have a lot to do with driving the market from here on out. Right now, the mainstream media is pointing to them as the single biggest bubble risk. They'll point to the late 1990s dot-com bubble as an example of what they think is coming. The mainstream thinking is that these new investors are "risk-on" in a major way, just like back in 1999.

Hey, I get it: Back then, a whole bunch of new day traders were in the market. Thanks to the Web, they had the ability to talk trading ideas and exchange hot tips on platforms like America Online and Compuserve. Then, like now, a new technology was helping regular people pry open the gates. Traders were even able to coordinate buying and selling in kind of the same ways we saw in January 2021, though with nowhere near the kind of volume we've been seeing.

The Easy Way to Profit from the New Reality

And that's the big difference. People – lots of regular people – are now 100% awake to the profit potential in the bull market. These new retail investors have a big appetite for risk, and it's paid off so far. I've said it a thousand times – if there are more aggressive buyers, prices will go higher. If there are more aggressive sellers, prices will go lower. Right now, that bottomless appetite for risk means that prices will keep going higher.

More power to 'em.

And as the pandemic (hopefully) winds down, and the economy opens up and recovers, sentiment is going to continue to be buoyant, and buying will probably be aggressive. Listening to nervous talking heads – and not the market – could end up costing you if it sends you to the sidelines.

Could we run into a correction? Absolutely – interest rate worries are still out there around the edges, and if those spook retail investors, a correction could get rough in a hurry. That's why you should have a shopping list of stocks ready to jump on if prices come down. Plan for it; don't plan on it.

That's why I think you can't go wrong with the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) – an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500… at a tenth the cost. I'd encourage anyone to be long on this right now; if you only have one stock, make it this one. And, when puts on SPY are cheap – like they are when stocks are going steadily higher like they are now – they can make a great insurance policy against any potential correction, paying you more if the market drops.

It's the best way to take advantage of the incredible power these new retail investors are bringing to the market and, at the same time, prepare for the day they could blink.

Disclaimer: Any performance results described herein are not based on actual trading of securities but are instead based on a hypothetical trading account which entered and exited the suggested ...

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William K. 3 years ago Member's comment

Certaily we know that the bulls, and other aggressive buyers, will bid up prices quite separately from any increase in value. That is an entertaining part of watching the stock markets. The reality can be a bit strange, though. And I, for one, do not trust most decisions based on emotions instead of facts. So there certainly IS a bubble built on some emotions and a bit of greed, and some will profit while some will lose.

We need to keep in mind that the profit from selling arrives ONLY when there is a "buy."