USD/CAD Hangs Near Two-Week Low Amid Weaker USD, Sliding Oil Prices Lend Support

The USD/CAD pair drifts lower for the fourth straight day and trades around the 1.3735-1.3740 area during the early European session on Thursday. Bearish traders now await some follow-through selling below the 1.3720 area, or over a two-week low set on Wednesday, before positioning for an extension of this week's sharp retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-1.3900s, or the highest level since October 2022.

Rising bets for bigger interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), bolstered by the incoming softer US economic data, trigger a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields. This, in turn, drags the US Dollar (USD) away from the weekly peak set the previous day and is seen exerting downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair. That said, the prevalent cautious market mood could help limit any meaningful depreciating move for the safe-haven Greenback.

 

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Against the backdrop of China's economic woes, fears of a possible recession in the US, along with persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, weigh on investors' sentiment. Furthermore, worries that an economic downturn in the world's two largest economies will dent fuel demand weigh on Crude Oil prices, which could undermine demand for the commodity-linked Loonie and lend support to the USD/CAD pair. 

Market participants now look to the US economic docket, featuring the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment might influence the USD demand, which, along with Oil price dynamics, should provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. The market attention will then shift to the monthly employment details from Canada, due for release on Friday.


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