Today's Trading Plan: Rallies Die Above 2100
Technical Outlook:
- Nasty sell-off on Friday, that had only a marginal dip buy at the close.
- Overall, the market lost its 5 and 10-day moving averages and the last two trading sessions alone have wiped out the previous nine days of upward price movement.
- As a result, there has to be some worries that a possible double top has formed on SPX with a confirmation at 2025.
- SPY volume was well above average and one of the highest readings that has been seen in almost a month.
- Above 2100 a lot of rallies go on to die. That is again what we are seeing here. Weakness suddenly creeping in and the bulls fleeing.
- Between 2186 and 2102 on the 30 minute chart there is a lot of choppiness of late that could offer some support to SPX that has been in a free fall since Friday.
- Watch to see whether price action can find support at the 20 and 50 day moving averages today.
- VIX breaking out in a bit way on Friday, though I'd prefer it clear the 17's entirely, it nonetheless cleared the heavy resistance that has plagued it in the 16.40's.
- As a possible brexit approaches, expect the volatility to increase as well.
- I believe, at this point, profits have to be taken aggressively, and avoid the tendency to let the profits run - the market is in a very choppy range that has mired stock price for the past two years. Unless it breaks out of it and onto new all-time highs, then taking profits aggressively is absolutely important.
My Trades:
- Sold WYNN on Friday at $100.5 for a 1.1% profit.
- Sold UPRO on Friday at $66.98 for a 0.8% profit.
- Sold ZAYO on Friday at $27.55 for a 1.4% loss.
- Sold LNKD on Friday at $131.48 for a 2.1% loss.
- Currently 10% Long / 10% Short 80% Cash
- Remain short QQQ at $109.92 and long one other position.
- Have the flexibility to go either way the market wants to take us today.
Chart for SPX:
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