Technical Market Report For Saturday, May 1

The number following the year represents its position in the Presidential Cycle. The number following the daily return represents the day of the week:

  • 1 = Monday, 2 = Tuesday, etc.

OTC Presidential Year 1 (PY1)

  •    Year    Day1      Day2      Day3     Day4      Day5     Totals
  •  1965-1 0.27% 1 -0.04% 2 0.31% 3 0.04% 4 0.13% 5 0.72%
  •  1969-1 0.26% 4 0.12% 5 0.34% 1 0.19% 2 -0.38% 3 0.53%
  •  1973-1 0.10% 2 1.01% 3 0.70% 4 0.98% 5 -0.37% 1 2.42%
  •  1977-1 0.37% 1 0.40% 2 0.44% 3 0.27% 4 0.01% 5 1.48%
  •  1981-1 -0.03% 5 -1.55% 1 -0.83% 2 0.20% 3 0.79% 4 -1.41%
  •  1985-1 -0.33% 3 -0.22% 4 0.47% 5 -0.16% 1 0.37% 2 0.12%
  •  1989-1 -0.02% 1 0.13% 2 0.19% 3 0.09% 4 0.35% 5 0.74%
  •  1993-1 0.80% 1 1.72% 2 0.75% 3 -0.47% 4 0.21% 5 3.00%
  •  1997-1 0.77% 4 2.74% 5 2.60% 1 -0.81% 2 -0.41% 3 4.89%
  •  Avg -- 0.24%    0.56%    0.63%   -0.23%    0.26%     1.47%
  •  2001-1 2.46% 2 2.42% 3 -3.35% 4 2.11% 5 -0.82% 1 2.82%
  •  2005-1 0.36% 1 0.23% 2 1.51% 3 -0.02% 4 0.28% 5 2.36%
  •  2009-1 0.11% 5 2.58% 1 -0.54% 2 0.28% 3 -2.44% 4 0.00%
  •  2013-1 -0.89% 3 1.26% 4 1.14% 5 0.42% 1 0.11% 2 2.04%
  •  2017-1 0.73% 1 0.06% 2 -0.37% 3 0.05% 4 0.42% 5 0.88%
  •  Avg --  0.55%    1.31%    -0.32%     0.57%    -0.49%    1.62%

OTC Summary for PY1 1965 - 2017

  • Averages -- 0.35% 0.77% 0.24% 0.23% -0.12% 1.47%
  • % Winners --  71%    79%    71%    71%     64%    93%
  • MDD: 5/3/2001: 3.35% -- 5/7/2009: 2.68% -- 5/5/1981: 2.39%

OTC Summary for All Years 1963 - 2020

  • Averages -- 0.27% 0.16% 0.06% -0.04% -0.06% 0.38%
  • % Winners --  63%    67%    58%    55%     57%     62%
  • MDD: 5/7/2010: 9.33% -- 5/7/2002: 6.78% -- 5/3/2000: 6.34%

SPX PY1

  •      Year    Day1     Day2     Day3     Day4     Day5     Totals
  •  1929-1 0.19% 3 0.46% 4 1.00% 5 0.42% 6 -0.60% 1 1.46%
  •  1933-1 1.32% 1 0.36% 2 -0.59% 3 2.85% 4 1.04% 5 4.98%
  •  1937-1 0.00% 6 0.24% 1 1.58% 2 -0.84% 3 0.72% 4 1.71%
  •  1941-1 -0.11% 4 0.32% 5 0.21% 6 -0.11% 1 1.71% 2 2.04%
  •  1945-1 -0.34% 2 -0.14% 3 0.68% 4 0.34% 5 0.20% 6 0.74%
  •  1949-1 0.27% 1 0.47% 2 1.14% 3 -0.07% 4 -0.60% 5 1.22%
  •  1953-1 0.45% 5 1.09% 1 0.12% 2 -0.12% 3 -0.40% 4 1.14%
  •  1957-1 0.61% 3 0.80% 4 -0.11% 5 -0.15% 1 -0.30% 2 0.85%
  •  Avg --  0.18%    0.51%    0.41%   -0.02%    0.12%    1.20%
  •  1961-1 -0.21% 1 0.72% 2 0.82% 3 0.39% 4 0.12% 5 1.84%
  •  1965-1 0.13% 1 0.31% 2 0.22% 3 0.23% 4 -0.08% 5 0.83%
  •  1969-1 -0.17% 4 0.47% 5 0.36% 1 0.47% 2 -0.18% 3 0.94%
  •  1973-1 0.12% 2 1.24% 3 1.65% 4 0.71% 5 -0.42% 1 3.30%
  •  1977-1 0.50% 1 0.51% 2 0.53% 3 0.15% 4 -0.62% 5 1.07%
  •  Avg --  0.07%    0.65%    0.72%    0.39%    -0.24%    1.60%
  •  1981-1 -0.07% 5 -1.54% 1 -0.27% 2 0.35% 3 0.68% 4 -0.85%
  •  1985-1 -0.81% 3 0.36% 4 0.60% 5 -0.05% 1 0.43% 2 0.52%
  •  1989-1 -0.17% 1 -0.32% 2 0.01% 3 -0.13% 4 -0.05% 5 -0.66%
  •  1993-1 0.52% 1 0.36% 2 0.11% 3 -0.28% 4 -0.21% 5 0.48%
  •  1997-1 -0.35% 4 1.81% 5 2.13% 1 -0.31% 2 -1.47% 3 1.82%
  •  Avg --  -0.18%    0.13%    0.52%   -0.08%    -0.12%    0.26%
  •  2001-1 1.36% 2 0.08% 3 -1.49% 4 1.44% 5 -0.24% 1 1.15%
  •  2005-1 0.46% 1 -0.09% 2 1.25% 3 -0.26% 4 -0.11% 5 1.25%
  •  2009-1 0.54% 5 3.39% 1 -0.38% 2 1.74% 3 -1.32% 4 3.97%
  •  2013-1 -0.93% 3 0.94% 4 1.05% 5 0.19% 1 0.52% 2 1.78%
  •  2017-1 0.17% 1 0.12% 2 -0.13% 3 0.06% 4 0.41% 5 0.63%
  •  Avg --  0.32%    0.89%    0.06%    0.64%    -0.15%    1.76%
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