Technical Market Report For Saturday, Jan. 2
The report includes the first five days of January. The number following the year represents its position in the Presidential Cycle. The number following the daily return represents the day of the week:
- 1 = Monday, 2 = Tuesday, etc.
OTC Presidential Year 1 (PY1)
- Year Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5 Totals
- 1965-1 0.52% 1 -0.14% 2 0.25% 3 0.57% 4 0.81% 5 2.01%
- 1969-1 0.09% 4 0.25% 5 0.21% 1 -1.10% 2 -0.93% 3 -1.48%
- 1973-1 0.00% 2 0.67% 3 0.56% 4 0.04% 5 0.35% 1 1.62%
- 1977-1 -0.19% 1 -0.48% 2 -0.34% 3 0.41% 4 0.25% 5 -0.36%
- 1981-1 0.77% 5 0.30% 1 -0.05% 2 -3.29% 3 -0.74% 4 -3.01%
- 1985-1 -0.58% 3 0.20% 4 -0.09% 5 -0.06% 1 -0.02% 2 -0.55%
- 1989-1 -0.48% 2 0.84% 3 0.27% 4 0.25% 5 0.14% 1 1.02%
- 1993-1 -0.76% 1 0.38% 2 1.11% 3 -0.53% 4 -0.15% 5 0.05%
- 1997-1 -0.80% 4 2.34% 5 0.43% 1 0.86% 2 -0.55% 3 2.29%
- Avg -- -0.37% 0.81% 0.34% -0.56% -0.26% -0.04%
- 2001-1 -7.23% 2 14.17% 3 -1.91% 4 -6.20% 5 -0.49% 1 -1.65%
- 2005-1 -1.07% 1 -2.06% 2 -0.79% 3 -0.06% 4 -0.07% 5 -4.04%
- 2009-1 3.50% 5 -0.26% 1 1.50% 2 -3.23% 3 1.12% 4 2.63%
- 2013-1 3.07% 3 -0.38% 4 0.04% 5 -0.09% 1 -0.23% 2 2.41%
- 2017-1 0.85% 2 0.88% 3 0.20% 4 0.60% 5 0.20% 1 2.73%
- Avg -- -0.18% 2.47% -0.19% -1.79% 0.11% 0.42%
OTC summary for PY1 1965 - 2017
- Averages -- -0.16% 1.20% 0.10% -0.84% -0.02% 0.26%
- % Winners -- 43% 64% 64% 43% 43% 57%
- MDD 1/8/2001: 8.44% -- 1/8/1981: 4.06% -- 1/7/2005: 3.99%
OTC summary for all years 1963 - 2019
- Averages -- 0.27% 0.43% 0.29% -0.06% 0.16% 1.08%
- % Winners -- 61% 61% 63% 63% 61% 70%
- MDD 1/6/2000: 9.78% -- 1/8/2001: 8.44% -- 1/8/2008: 7.98%
SPX PY1
- Year Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5 Totals
- 1929-1 1.89% 3 0.20% 4 -0.04% 5 -1.13% 6 -1.30% 1 -0.38%
- 1933-1 -0.87% 2 4.69% 3 -0.42% 4 1.54% 5 -1.38% 1 3.56%
- 1937-1 -0.93% 6 -0.53% 1 0.89% 2 0.06% 3 2.28% 4 1.77%
- 1941-1 -0.95% 4 2.29% 5 0.00% 6 0.19% 1 0.09% 2 1.62%
- 1945-1 0.38% 2 1.05% 3 0.15% 4 -0.22% 5 -0.15% 6 1.20%
- 1949-1 -1.64% 1 0.54% 2 0.86% 3 2.24% 4 0.71% 5 2.71%
- 1953-1 -0.11% 5 0.45% 1 -0.68% 2 -0.42% 3 -0.15% 4 -0.90%
- 1957-1 -1.01% 3 0.87% 4 0.13% 5 -0.51% 1 -0.37% 2 -0.89%
- Avg -- -0.67% 1.04% 0.09% 0.26% 0.03% 0.75%
- 1961-1 -0.93% 2 1.37% 3 0.36% 4 -0.15% 5 0.56% 1 1.21%
- 1965-1 -0.61% 1 0.47% 2 0.31% 3 0.44% 4 0.13% 5 0.73%
- 1969-1 0.07% 4 0.06% 5 -1.46% 1 -1.22% 2 -0.41% 3 -2.97%
- 1973-1 0.89% 2 0.39% 3 -0.14% 4 0.39% 5 -0.02% 1 1.52%
- 1977-1 -0.43% 1 -1.21% 2 -0.89% 3 0.25% 4 -0.01% 5 -2.29%
- Avg -- -0.20% 0.22% -0.37% -0.06% 0.05% -0.36%
- 1981-1 0.43% 5 1.20% 1 0.11% 2 -2.20% 3 -1.50% 4 -1.96%
- 1985-1 -1.12% 3 -0.48% 4 -0.54% 5 0.34% 1 -0.15% 2 -1.95%
- 1989-1 -0.87% 2 1.50% 3 0.21% 4 0.24% 5 0.11% 1 1.18%
- 1993-1 -0.08% 1 -0.24% 2 0.04% 3 -0.87% 4 -0.39% 5 -1.54%
- 1997-1 -0.50% 4 1.49% 5 -0.05% 1 0.75% 2 -0.64% 3 1.05%
- Avg -- -0.43% 0.69% -0.05% -0.35% -0.51% -0.64%
- 2001-1 -2.80% 2 5.01% 3 -1.06% 4 -2.62% 5 -0.19% 1 -1.66%
- 2005-1 -0.81% 1 -1.17% 2 -0.36% 3 0.35% 4 -0.14% 5 -2.13%
- 2009-1 3.16% 5 -0.47% 1 0.78% 2 -3.00% 3 0.34% 4 0.81%
- 2013-1 2.54% 3 -0.21% 4 0.49% 5 -0.31% 1 -0.32% 2 2.18%
- 2017-1 0.85% 2 0.57% 3 -0.08% 4 0.35% 5 -0.35% 1 1.34%
- Avg -- 0.59% 0.75% -0.05% -1.05% -0.13% 0.11%