Technical Market Report For Saturday, Jan. 2

The report includes the first five days of January. The number following the year represents its position in the Presidential Cycle. The number following the daily return represents the day of the week:

  • 1 = Monday, 2 = Tuesday, etc.

OTC Presidential Year 1 (PY1)

  •    Year     Day1       Day2     Day3       Day4       Day5     Totals
  •  1965-1 0.52% 1 -0.14% 2 0.25% 3 0.57% 4 0.81% 5 2.01%
  •  1969-1 0.09% 4 0.25% 5 0.21% 1 -1.10% 2 -0.93% 3 -1.48%
  •  1973-1 0.00% 2 0.67% 3 0.56% 4 0.04% 5 0.35% 1 1.62%
  •  1977-1 -0.19% 1 -0.48% 2 -0.34% 3 0.41% 4 0.25% 5 -0.36%
  •  1981-1 0.77% 5 0.30% 1 -0.05% 2 -3.29% 3 -0.74% 4 -3.01%
  •  1985-1 -0.58% 3 0.20% 4 -0.09% 5 -0.06% 1 -0.02% 2 -0.55%
  •  1989-1 -0.48% 2 0.84% 3 0.27% 4 0.25% 5 0.14% 1 1.02%
  •  1993-1 -0.76% 1 0.38% 2 1.11% 3 -0.53% 4 -0.15% 5 0.05%
  •  1997-1 -0.80% 4 2.34% 5 0.43% 1 0.86% 2 -0.55% 3 2.29%
  •  Avg --    -0.37% 0.81% 0.34% -0.56% -0.26% -0.04%
  •  2001-1 -7.23% 2 14.17% 3 -1.91% 4 -6.20% 5 -0.49% 1 -1.65%
  •  2005-1 -1.07% 1 -2.06% 2 -0.79% 3 -0.06% 4 -0.07% 5 -4.04%
  •  2009-1 3.50% 5 -0.26% 1 1.50% 2 -3.23% 3 1.12% 4 2.63%
  •  2013-1 3.07% 3 -0.38% 4 0.04% 5 -0.09% 1 -0.23% 2 2.41%
  •  2017-1 0.85% 2 0.88% 3 0.20% 4 0.60% 5 0.20% 1 2.73%
  •  Avg --  -0.18% 2.47% -0.19% -1.79% 0.11% 0.42%

OTC summary for PY1 1965 - 2017

  • Averages --   -0.16% 1.20% 0.10% -0.84% -0.02% 0.26%
  • % Winners --    43% 64% 64% 43% 43% 57%
  • MDD 1/8/2001: 8.44% -- 1/8/1981: 4.06% -- 1/7/2005: 3.99%

OTC summary for all years 1963 - 2019

  • Averages --  0.27% 0.43% 0.29% -0.06% 0.16% 1.08%
  • % Winners --    61% 61% 63% 63% 61% 70%
  • MDD 1/6/2000: 9.78% -- 1/8/2001: 8.44% -- 1/8/2008: 7.98%

SPX PY1

  •   Year      Day1       Day2       Day3       Day4       Day5       Totals
  •  1929-1 1.89% 3 0.20% 4 -0.04% 5 -1.13% 6 -1.30% 1 -0.38%
  •  1933-1 -0.87% 2 4.69% 3 -0.42% 4 1.54% 5 -1.38% 1 3.56%
  •  1937-1 -0.93% 6 -0.53% 1 0.89% 2 0.06% 3 2.28% 4 1.77%
  •  1941-1 -0.95% 4 2.29% 5 0.00% 6 0.19% 1 0.09% 2 1.62%
  •  1945-1 0.38% 2 1.05% 3 0.15% 4 -0.22% 5 -0.15% 6 1.20%
  •  1949-1 -1.64% 1 0.54% 2 0.86% 3 2.24% 4 0.71% 5 2.71%
  •  1953-1 -0.11% 5 0.45% 1 -0.68% 2 -0.42% 3 -0.15% 4 -0.90%
  •  1957-1 -1.01% 3 0.87% 4 0.13% 5 -0.51% 1 -0.37% 2 -0.89%
  •  Avg --    -0.67% 1.04% 0.09% 0.26% 0.03% 0.75%
  •  1961-1 -0.93% 2 1.37% 3 0.36% 4 -0.15% 5 0.56% 1 1.21%
  •  1965-1 -0.61% 1 0.47% 2 0.31% 3 0.44% 4 0.13% 5 0.73%
  •  1969-1 0.07% 4 0.06% 5 -1.46% 1 -1.22% 2 -0.41% 3 -2.97%
  •  1973-1 0.89% 2 0.39% 3 -0.14% 4 0.39% 5 -0.02% 1 1.52%
  •  1977-1 -0.43% 1 -1.21% 2 -0.89% 3 0.25% 4 -0.01% 5 -2.29%
  •  Avg --    -0.20% 0.22% -0.37% -0.06% 0.05% -0.36%
  •  1981-1 0.43% 5 1.20% 1 0.11% 2 -2.20% 3 -1.50% 4 -1.96%
  •  1985-1 -1.12% 3 -0.48% 4 -0.54% 5 0.34% 1 -0.15% 2 -1.95%
  •  1989-1 -0.87% 2 1.50% 3 0.21% 4 0.24% 5 0.11% 1 1.18%
  •  1993-1 -0.08% 1 -0.24% 2 0.04% 3 -0.87% 4 -0.39% 5 -1.54%
  •  1997-1 -0.50% 4 1.49% 5 -0.05% 1 0.75% 2 -0.64% 3 1.05%
  •  Avg --    -0.43% 0.69% -0.05% -0.35% -0.51% -0.64%
  •  2001-1 -2.80% 2 5.01% 3 -1.06% 4 -2.62% 5 -0.19% 1 -1.66%
  •  2005-1 -0.81% 1 -1.17% 2 -0.36% 3 0.35% 4 -0.14% 5 -2.13%
  •  2009-1 3.16% 5 -0.47% 1 0.78% 2 -3.00% 3 0.34% 4 0.81%
  •  2013-1 2.54% 3 -0.21% 4 0.49% 5 -0.31% 1 -0.32% 2 2.18%
  •  2017-1 0.85% 2 0.57% 3 -0.08% 4 0.35% 5 -0.35% 1 1.34%
  •  Avg --   0.59% 0.75% -0.05% -1.05% -0.13% 0.11%
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